Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% on US military draft authorization in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional legislation or executive action to reinstate conscription, which has remained inactive since the all-volunteer force began in 1973. The National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2026, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-25 starting December 2026 via federal databases, streamlining compliance but explicitly not activating a draft—that requires separate presidential request and congressional approval. Recent media and social chatter amplified fears amid recruitment challenges and Middle East tensions, yet Pentagon reports show enlistment rebounds, with no draft proposals advancing in Congress as of mid-April. Late-breaking escalations or legislative pushes could shift odds, but structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$179,535 वॉल्यूम
$179,535 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$179,535 वॉल्यूम
$179,535 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% on US military draft authorization in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional legislation or executive action to reinstate conscription, which has remained inactive since the all-volunteer force began in 1973. The National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2026, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-25 starting December 2026 via federal databases, streamlining compliance but explicitly not activating a draft—that requires separate presidential request and congressional approval. Recent media and social chatter amplified fears amid recruitment challenges and Middle East tensions, yet Pentagon reports show enlistment rebounds, with no draft proposals advancing in Congress as of mid-April. Late-breaking escalations or legislative pushes could shift odds, but structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$179,535समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% on US military draft authorization in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional legislation or executive action to reinstate conscription, which has remained inactive since the all-volunteer force began in 1973. The National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2026, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-25 starting December 2026 via federal databases, streamlining compliance but explicitly not activating a draft—that requires separate presidential request and congressional approval. Recent media and social chatter amplified fears amid recruitment challenges and Middle East tensions, yet Pentagon reports show enlistment rebounds, with no draft proposals advancing in Congress as of mid-April. Late-breaking escalations or legislative pushes could shift odds, but structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$179,535समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.5% on US military draft authorization in 2026, reflecting the absence of any congressional legislation or executive action to reinstate conscription, which has remained inactive since the all-volunteer force began in 1973. The National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2026, signed in December 2025, mandates automatic Selective Service registration for men aged 18-25 starting December 2026 via federal databases, streamlining compliance but explicitly not activating a draft—that requires separate presidential request and congressional approval. Recent media and social chatter amplified fears amid recruitment challenges and Middle East tensions, yet Pentagon reports show enlistment rebounds, with no draft proposals advancing in Congress as of mid-April. Late-breaking escalations or legislative pushes could shift odds, but structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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