Internal Likud dynamics ahead of the August 17 primary for the Knesset slate have kept probabilities closely balanced among senior figures. Netanyahu secured eight reserved slots and a wartime contingency committee through Central Committee and Constitution Committee votes, while internal court rulings preserved the primary itself despite legal challenges. These moves, combined with the October 27 general election timeline and uncertainty over whether the ballot proceeds unchanged, sustain trader consensus around a fragmented field. Recent shifts in negotiating leverage and candidate positioning have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead decisively. Further Central Committee actions, final slate adjustments, or public endorsements could quickly reorder the probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमीर ओहाना 28%
क्नेसट चुनाव तक प्राइमरी नहीं 16%
टली गोटलिव 10.6%
मोशे साडा 4.6%
$28,241 वॉल्यूम
$28,241 वॉल्यूम
26 अक्टू, 2026
अमीर ओहाना
28%
क्नेसट चुनाव तक प्राइमरी नहीं
16%
टली गोटलिव
6%
मोशे साडा
5%
इज़राइल कैट्ज़
4%
बोआज़ बिसमुथ
4%
एली कोहेन
3%
अमीचाई चिकली
3%
डेविड अमसालेम
1%
आलमोग कोहेन
1%
योआव किश
1%
निर्बर्कत
1%
मिरी रेगव
1%
मिकी जोहर
1%
डेविड बिटन
1%
श्लोमो करही
1%
यारिव लेविन
32%
अमीर ओहाना 28%
क्नेसट चुनाव तक प्राइमरी नहीं 16%
टली गोटलिव 10.6%
मोशे साडा 4.6%
$28,241 वॉल्यूम
$28,241 वॉल्यूम
26 अक्टू, 2026
अमीर ओहाना
$6,829 वॉल्यूम
28%
क्नेसट चुनाव तक प्राइमरी नहीं
$8,935 वॉल्यूम
16%
टली गोटलिव
$4,190 वॉल्यूम
6%
मोशे साडा
$488 वॉल्यूम
5%
इज़राइल कैट्ज़
$1,514 वॉल्यूम
4%
बोआज़ बिसमुथ
$498 वॉल्यूम
4%
एली कोहेन
$320 वॉल्यूम
3%
अमीचाई चिकली
$225 वॉल्यूम
3%
डेविड अमसालेम
$244 वॉल्यूम
1%
आलमोग कोहेन
$223 वॉल्यूम
1%
योआव किश
$216 वॉल्यूम
1%
निर्बर्कत
$1,585 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिरी रेगव
$225 वॉल्यूम
1%
मिकी जोहर
$230 वॉल्यूम
1%
डेविड बिटन
$500 वॉल्यूम
1%
श्लोमो करही
$330 वॉल्यूम
1%
यारिव लेविन
$1,690 वॉल्यूम
32%
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Internal Likud dynamics ahead of the August 17 primary for the Knesset slate have kept probabilities closely balanced among senior figures. Netanyahu secured eight reserved slots and a wartime contingency committee through Central Committee and Constitution Committee votes, while internal court rulings preserved the primary itself despite legal challenges. These moves, combined with the October 27 general election timeline and uncertainty over whether the ballot proceeds unchanged, sustain trader consensus around a fragmented field. Recent shifts in negotiating leverage and candidate positioning have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead decisively. Further Central Committee actions, final slate adjustments, or public endorsements could quickly reorder the probabilities.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,241समाप्ति तिथि
26 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.Internal Likud dynamics ahead of the August 17 primary for the Knesset slate have kept probabilities closely balanced among senior figures. Netanyahu secured eight reserved slots and a wartime contingency committee through Central Committee and Constitution Committee votes, while internal court rulings preserved the primary itself despite legal challenges. These moves, combined with the October 27 general election timeline and uncertainty over whether the ballot proceeds unchanged, sustain trader consensus around a fragmented field. Recent shifts in negotiating leverage and candidate positioning have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead decisively. Further Central Committee actions, final slate adjustments, or public endorsements could quickly reorder the probabilities.
Primary elections for the Likud Party of Israel are expected to be held in 2026 to determine the composition of the Likud party list that will contest the 2026 Knesset elections. It is expected that the winner of the Likud party primary elections will occupy second place on the Likud party list, after the party leader.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Likud primary elections.
If no Likud primary election occurs by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, regardless of whether a party list is released, this market will resolve to “No Primary by Knesset Election”. An official announcement of cancellation of the primary is not sufficient for this market to resolve to "No Primary by Knesset Election".
If the primary election takes place and election results are not known definitively by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to the individual that occupies the second place on the Likud party list to contest the 2026 Knesset elections. If no such party list is released by the earlier of i) the 2026 Knesset elections, or ii) December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from Likud.
वॉल्यूम
$28,241समाप्ति तिथि
26 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 21, 2026, 7:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Internal Likud dynamics ahead of the August 17 primary for the Knesset slate have kept probabilities closely balanced among senior figures. Netanyahu secured eight reserved slots and a wartime contingency committee through Central Committee and Constitution Committee votes, while internal court rulings preserved the primary itself despite legal challenges. These moves, combined with the October 27 general election timeline and uncertainty over whether the ballot proceeds unchanged, sustain trader consensus around a fragmented field. Recent shifts in negotiating leverage and candidate positioning have prevented any single contender from pulling ahead decisively. Further Central Committee actions, final slate adjustments, or public endorsements could quickly reorder the probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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