Trader consensus prices foreign intervention in Gaza at low probabilities—4% by April 30 and 21% by June 30—reflecting persistent delays in deploying the proposed International Stabilization Force (ISF) despite months of diplomatic momentum. In March 2026, reports confirmed commitments from Morocco, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania for up to 5,000 troops to enter Gaza around May, aiming to provide security, train Palestinian police, and facilitate demilitarization under UN auspices, with Israel set to oversee acceptability. No qualifying ground operations by non-Israeli, non-Palestinian forces have occurred as of mid-April, amid ongoing Israeli military actions and Hamas threats to target peacekeepers. Upcoming UN Security Council debates and potential May timelines could shift odds if physical entry materializes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$441,443 वॉल्यूम

30 अप्रैल
4%

30 जून
21%
$441,443 वॉल्यूम

30 अप्रैल
4%

30 जून
21%
The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 18, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The foreign personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
Entering Israeli controlled buffer zones will not qualify.
Egyptian or other forces operating solely along the Egyptian/Gaza border will not qualify regardless of if they cross the border.
Foreign personnel carrying out individual special operations, diplomatic missions, or solely humanitarian operations will not qualify.
Qualifying deployments must involve active-duty personnel of at least one foreign state or international institution (e.g., the UN or multinational missions) who are officially sent to Gaza for an operational role (e.g., peacekeeping, convoy escort, detention, logistical support). To qualify, the deployment must occur within the specified timeframe; mere announcements will not suffice.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices foreign intervention in Gaza at low probabilities—4% by April 30 and 21% by June 30—reflecting persistent delays in deploying the proposed International Stabilization Force (ISF) despite months of diplomatic momentum. In March 2026, reports confirmed commitments from Morocco, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, and Albania for up to 5,000 troops to enter Gaza around May, aiming to provide security, train Palestinian police, and facilitate demilitarization under UN auspices, with Israel set to oversee acceptability. No qualifying ground operations by non-Israeli, non-Palestinian forces have occurred as of mid-April, amid ongoing Israeli military actions and Hamas threats to target peacekeepers. Upcoming UN Security Council debates and potential May timelines could shift odds if physical entry materializes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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