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icon for 2026 में इज़राइल कितने अलग - अलग देशों पर हमला करेगा?
राजनीति·इज़राइल

2026 में इज़राइल कितने अलग - अलग देशों पर हमला करेगा?

icon for 2026 में इज़राइल कितने अलग - अलग देशों पर हमला करेगा?
राजनीति·इज़राइल

2026 में इज़राइल कितने अलग - अलग देशों पर हमला करेगा?

जन 1, 2027

जन 1, 2027

4 86.5%

6 5.5%

5 3.8%

8 1.2%

Polymarket

$7,416,393 वॉल्यूम

4 86.5%

6 5.5%

5 3.8%

8 1.2%

Polymarket

$7,416,393 वॉल्यूम

4

$1,235,096 वॉल्यूम

86%

5

$548,443 वॉल्यूम

4%

6

$651,961 वॉल्यूम

6%

7

$618,928 वॉल्यूम

1%

8

$530,793 वॉल्यूम

1%

9

$237,232 वॉल्यूम

1%

10

$401,009 वॉल्यूम

<1%

11

$137,841 वॉल्यूम

<1%

12

$228,040 वॉल्यूम

<1%

13

$353,402 वॉल्यूम

<1%

14

$191,621 वॉल्यूम

<1%

15+

$193,520 वॉल्यूम

<1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus heavily favors exactly four countries struck by Israel in 2026 (86.5% implied probability), with distant alternatives like six countries at just 5.5%.** This positioning reflects confirmed Israeli operations primarily in Iran, Lebanon, Syria, and Palestinian territories (Gaza), alongside limited activity elsewhere through mid-September. Major escalations defined the first half of the year, including joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran beginning February 28 that targeted leadership and military sites, followed by exchanges in June. Parallel operations in Lebanon involved airstrikes, ground advances, and tunnel demolitions, while Gaza saw repeated targeted strikes amid ceasefire strains. August strikes in Syria, including on the Abu al-Duhur airbase, added that front without broader spillover. Recent weeks show contained activity: ongoing but localized strikes in southern Lebanon and northern Gaza, with no verified new sovereign targets. Diplomatic efforts, including US-mediated pauses and talks around Iran-related issues, plus Israeli warnings against Turkish moves in Syria without follow-through, have kept additional fronts from opening. The market's strong lean toward four countries captures the current pattern of focused operations on established adversaries rather than wider regional expansion, though flare-ups in existing theaters or unforeseen incidents could still alter the count before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,416,393
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus heavily favors exactly four countries struck by Israel in 2026 (86.5% implied probability), with distant alternatives like six countries at just 5.5%.** This positioning reflects confirmed Israeli operations primarily in Iran, Lebanon, Syria, and Palestinian territories (Gaza), alongside limited activity elsewhere through mid-September. Major escalations defined the first half of the year, including joint US-Israeli strikes on Iran beginning February 28 that targeted leadership and military sites, followed by exchanges in June. Parallel operations in Lebanon involved airstrikes, ground advances, and tunnel demolitions, while Gaza saw repeated targeted strikes amid ceasefire strains. August strikes in Syria, including on the Abu al-Duhur airbase, added that front without broader spillover. Recent weeks show contained activity: ongoing but localized strikes in southern Lebanon and northern Gaza, with no verified new sovereign targets. Diplomatic efforts, including US-mediated pauses and talks around Iran-related issues, plus Israeli warnings against Turkish moves in Syria without follow-through, have kept additional fronts from opening. The market's strong lean toward four countries captures the current pattern of focused operations on established adversaries rather than wider regional expansion, though flare-ups in existing theaters or unforeseen incidents could still alter the count before year-end.

This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.

Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,416,393
समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 10:52 AM ET

रिज़ॉल्वर

0x2F5e3684c...

संबंधित

icon for क्या अमेरिका 2026 में 8 देशों पर हमला करेगा?

क्या अमेरिका 2026 में 8 देशों पर हमला करेगा?

63%
हाँ
icon for क्या भारत 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक पाकिस्तान पर हमला करेगा?

क्या भारत 31 दिसंबर, 2026 तक पाकिस्तान पर हमला करेगा?

11%
हाँ
icon for क्या 31 दिसंबर तक मेक्सिको पर अमेरिका हमला करेगा?

क्या 31 दिसंबर तक मेक्सिको पर अमेरिका हमला करेगा?

10%
हाँ

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"2026 में इज़राइल कितने अलग - अलग देशों पर हमला करेगा?" Polymarket पर 16 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 4 86% (86¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 6 6% पर है।

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