Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects approximately seven countries—Iran, Venezuela, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Somalia, and Nigeria—targeted by US airstrikes and operations so far in 2026, per CENTCOM and AFRICOM reports, fueling the tight race among 7 (31.5%), 8 (23.4%), and 9 (14.4%) outcomes. Recent drivers include ongoing Operation Epic Fury strikes in Iran following the February 28 joint US-Israeli attacks that ignited the 2026 Iran war, and AFRICOM's April 9 airstrike against al-Shabaab in Somalia, alongside continued counterterrorism in Syria and Yemen. The contest remains close due to eight months remaining, with uncertainty over escalations via Iranian proxies, expanded Africa ops, or Latin American counternarcotics actions like Venezuela follow-ups; a major diplomatic de-escalation or new conflict could push toward 6 or 10+.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका 2026 में कितने अलग - अलग देशों के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
अमेरिका 2026 में कितने अलग - अलग देशों के खिलाफ सैन्य कार्रवाई करेगा?
7 31.5%
8 23.4%
9 14.4%
6 9.9%
$886,930 वॉल्यूम
$886,930 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
6
10%
7
32%
8
23%
9
14%
10
9%
11
3%
12
3%
१३
3%
14
1%
15+
2%
7 31.5%
8 23.4%
9 14.4%
6 9.9%
$886,930 वॉल्यूम
$886,930 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
6
$420,356 वॉल्यूम
10%
7
$6,328 वॉल्यूम
32%
8
$36,988 वॉल्यूम
23%
9
$11,318 वॉल्यूम
14%
10
$11,824 वॉल्यूम
9%
11
$8,707 वॉल्यूम
3%
12
$28,360 वॉल्यूम
3%
१३
$41,472 वॉल्यूम
3%
14
$42,016 वॉल्यूम
1%
15+
$119,718 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects approximately seven countries—Iran, Venezuela, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Somalia, and Nigeria—targeted by US airstrikes and operations so far in 2026, per CENTCOM and AFRICOM reports, fueling the tight race among 7 (31.5%), 8 (23.4%), and 9 (14.4%) outcomes. Recent drivers include ongoing Operation Epic Fury strikes in Iran following the February 28 joint US-Israeli attacks that ignited the 2026 Iran war, and AFRICOM's April 9 airstrike against al-Shabaab in Somalia, alongside continued counterterrorism in Syria and Yemen. The contest remains close due to eight months remaining, with uncertainty over escalations via Iranian proxies, expanded Africa ops, or Latin American counternarcotics actions like Venezuela follow-ups; a major diplomatic de-escalation or new conflict could push toward 6 or 10+.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$886,930समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects approximately seven countries—Iran, Venezuela, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Somalia, and Nigeria—targeted by US airstrikes and operations so far in 2026, per CENTCOM and AFRICOM reports, fueling the tight race among 7 (31.5%), 8 (23.4%), and 9 (14.4%) outcomes. Recent drivers include ongoing Operation Epic Fury strikes in Iran following the February 28 joint US-Israeli attacks that ignited the 2026 Iran war, and AFRICOM's April 9 airstrike against al-Shabaab in Somalia, alongside continued counterterrorism in Syria and Yemen. The contest remains close due to eight months remaining, with uncertainty over escalations via Iranian proxies, expanded Africa ops, or Latin American counternarcotics actions like Venezuela follow-ups; a major diplomatic de-escalation or new conflict could push toward 6 or 10+.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$886,930समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects approximately seven countries—Iran, Venezuela, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Somalia, and Nigeria—targeted by US airstrikes and operations so far in 2026, per CENTCOM and AFRICOM reports, fueling the tight race among 7 (31.5%), 8 (23.4%), and 9 (14.4%) outcomes. Recent drivers include ongoing Operation Epic Fury strikes in Iran following the February 28 joint US-Israeli attacks that ignited the 2026 Iran war, and AFRICOM's April 9 airstrike against al-Shabaab in Somalia, alongside continued counterterrorism in Syria and Yemen. The contest remains close due to eight months remaining, with uncertainty over escalations via Iranian proxies, expanded Africa ops, or Latin American counternarcotics actions like Venezuela follow-ups; a major diplomatic de-escalation or new conflict could push toward 6 or 10+.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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