EU sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit operations, maintenance, or use of the Nord Stream pipelines as part of a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027, while Germany has maintained a firm policy against reactivation under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. The 2022 sabotage left most lines damaged with no repair or certification process underway, and only one Nord Stream 2 string remains intact amid ongoing mothballing considerations by Russia. Europe’s sustained shift to LNG from alternative suppliers and reduced Russian gas dependence further reinforce these barriers. Traders’ near-certain consensus on no flow before 2027 reflects these entrenched legal, technical, and policy constraints, though a rapid diplomatic resolution to the Ukraine conflict or unexpected sanctions reversal could still alter the timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3% संभावना
$162,524 वॉल्यूम
$162,524 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
3% संभावना
$162,524 वॉल्यूम
$162,524 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
EU sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit operations, maintenance, or use of the Nord Stream pipelines as part of a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027, while Germany has maintained a firm policy against reactivation under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. The 2022 sabotage left most lines damaged with no repair or certification process underway, and only one Nord Stream 2 string remains intact amid ongoing mothballing considerations by Russia. Europe’s sustained shift to LNG from alternative suppliers and reduced Russian gas dependence further reinforce these barriers. Traders’ near-certain consensus on no flow before 2027 reflects these entrenched legal, technical, and policy constraints, though a rapid diplomatic resolution to the Ukraine conflict or unexpected sanctions reversal could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$162,524समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
EU sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit operations, maintenance, or use of the Nord Stream pipelines as part of a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027, while Germany has maintained a firm policy against reactivation under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. The 2022 sabotage left most lines damaged with no repair or certification process underway, and only one Nord Stream 2 string remains intact amid ongoing mothballing considerations by Russia. Europe’s sustained shift to LNG from alternative suppliers and reduced Russian gas dependence further reinforce these barriers. Traders’ near-certain consensus on no flow before 2027 reflects these entrenched legal, technical, and policy constraints, though a rapid diplomatic resolution to the Ukraine conflict or unexpected sanctions reversal could still alter the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$162,524समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...EU sanctions adopted in 2025 explicitly prohibit operations, maintenance, or use of the Nord Stream pipelines as part of a broader phase-out of Russian pipeline gas imports by late 2027, while Germany has maintained a firm policy against reactivation under Chancellor Friedrich Merz. The 2022 sabotage left most lines damaged with no repair or certification process underway, and only one Nord Stream 2 string remains intact amid ongoing mothballing considerations by Russia. Europe’s sustained shift to LNG from alternative suppliers and reduced Russian gas dependence further reinforce these barriers. Traders’ near-certain consensus on no flow before 2027 reflects these entrenched legal, technical, and policy constraints, though a rapid diplomatic resolution to the Ukraine conflict or unexpected sanctions reversal could still alter the timeline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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