Recent polls show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party holding a narrow lead with projected support near 23-25 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 19-21% vote share, yet results remain volatile amid 10-11% undecided respondents and shifting smaller-party thresholds. The September 7 candidate-list deadline and recent entries like the Hendel-Zelekha slate have altered bloc arithmetic, with some surveys indicating Yashar gains at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad while Likud trails. Traders price the 18-24% brackets most heavily because outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, whether additional centrist or right-leaning lists clear the 3.25% threshold, and final opposition consolidation before the October 27 election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाइज़राइल चुनाव: यशर वोट शेयर?
18-20% 28%
16-18% 28%
24%+ 27%
22-24% 25%
16% से कम
23%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
28%
20-22%
24%
22-24%
25%
24%+
27%
18-20% 28%
16-18% 28%
24%+ 27%
22-24% 25%
16% से कम
23%
16-18%
28%
18-20%
28%
20-22%
24%
22-24%
25%
24%+
27%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party holding a narrow lead with projected support near 23-25 Knesset seats, translating to roughly 19-21% vote share, yet results remain volatile amid 10-11% undecided respondents and shifting smaller-party thresholds. The September 7 candidate-list deadline and recent entries like the Hendel-Zelekha slate have altered bloc arithmetic, with some surveys indicating Yashar gains at the expense of Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad while Likud trails. Traders price the 18-24% brackets most heavily because outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, whether additional centrist or right-leaning lists clear the 3.25% threshold, and final opposition consolidation before the October 27 election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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