Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?
क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?
$7,823,443 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर
3%
$7,823,443 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$850,809 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,823,443समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,823,443समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions between the United States and Iran, including intermittent strikes, naval actions in the Strait of Hormuz, and sanctions enforcement since the February 2026 conflict began, continue without a formal congressional declaration of war. The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding expired without resolving core disputes over shipping access, nuclear inspections, and economic relief, leading both sides to reject further talks as of mid-September. Trader assessments reflect the high procedural and political barriers to an official declaration, including Senate and House approval requirements, domestic economic costs exceeding $38 billion, military readiness strains, and preference for targeted measures over full-scale war authorization. Upcoming diplomatic or escalation signals in the region could influence probabilities within any defined resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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