Skip to main content
Market icon

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

Market icon

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

अप्रैल 30

अप्रैल 30

2% संभावना
Polymarket

$13,515 वॉल्यूम

2% संभावना
Polymarket

$13,515 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.

Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
वॉल्यूम
$13,515
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut remains operational on limited emergency services following a February 23 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid regional tensions involving Hezbollah and Iran-aligned militias, with no escalation to full evacuation as of the latest April 3 security alert urging U.S. citizens to depart via commercial flights. Recent U.S.-brokered direct Israel-Lebanon diplomatic talks in Washington have yielded optimism for negotiations and confidence-building measures, signaling de-escalation despite sporadic rocket fire. Trader consensus at 97.8% "No" reflects this stabilized posture under Level 4 Do Not Travel advisory, with routine consular operations suspended but no imminent threats warranting a noncombatant evacuation operation by April 30; sudden Israeli ground action, major Hezbollah retaliation, or direct embassy targeting could still prompt reversal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.

Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
वॉल्यूम
$13,515
समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?" Polymarket पर एक पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है जहाँ ट्रेडर इस बात के आधार पर "हाँ" या "नहीं" शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं कि क्या उन्हें लगता है यह घटना होगी। वर्तमान भीड़-संचालित संभावना "Yes" के लिए 2% है। उदाहरण के लिए, अगर "हाँ" की कीमत 2¢ है, तो बाज़ार सामूहिक रूप से इस घटना के होने की 2% संभावना मानता है। ये संभावनाएँ लगातार बदलती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर नए विकास और जानकारी पर प्रतिक्रिया करते हैं। सही परिणाम में शेयर बाज़ार समाधान पर प्रत्येक $1 में भुनाए जा सकते हैं।

आज तक, "U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?" ने कुल $13.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 24, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, बस चुनें कि आपको लगता है उत्तर "हाँ" है या "नहीं"। प्रत्येक पक्ष की एक वर्तमान कीमत है जो बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। अपनी राशि दर्ज करें और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें। अगर आप "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम "हाँ" हल होता है, तो प्रत्येक शेयर $1 का भुगतान करता है। अगर "नहीं" हल होता है, तो आपके "हाँ" शेयर $0 का भुगतान करते हैं। लाभ सुरक्षित करने या नुकसान कम करने के लिए आप समाधान से पहले किसी भी समय अपने शेयर बेच सकते हैं।

"U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?" की वर्तमान संभावना "Yes" के लिए 2% है। इसका मतलब है कि Polymarket भीड़ वर्तमान में मानती है कि इस घटना के होने की 2% संभावना है। ये संभावनाएँ वास्तविक ट्रेड के आधार पर रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।