Trader consensus favors "No" at 55.5% on any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting governments' reluctance to escalate diplomatic ruptures amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and Israel-Lebanon border tensions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata—over alleged insulting social media posts—stands as the sharpest recent rebuke, prompting his departure within 72 hours, yet no full chief ambassador has been expelled. Vocal opposition calls in France, Britain, and elsewhere for such actions remain unheeded by executives prioritizing open channels for ceasefire talks, UN resolutions, and bilateral diplomacy. While recognitions of Palestine and trade suspensions proliferate, historical patterns show expulsions as rare amid active negotiations, though Iran proxy escalations or ICJ rulings could tip sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
$19,418 वॉल्यूम
$19,418 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
$19,418 वॉल्यूम
$19,418 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 55.5% on any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting governments' reluctance to escalate diplomatic ruptures amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and Israel-Lebanon border tensions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata—over alleged insulting social media posts—stands as the sharpest recent rebuke, prompting his departure within 72 hours, yet no full chief ambassador has been expelled. Vocal opposition calls in France, Britain, and elsewhere for such actions remain unheeded by executives prioritizing open channels for ceasefire talks, UN resolutions, and bilateral diplomacy. While recognitions of Palestine and trade suspensions proliferate, historical patterns show expulsions as rare amid active negotiations, though Iran proxy escalations or ICJ rulings could tip sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$19,418समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors "No" at 55.5% on any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting governments' reluctance to escalate diplomatic ruptures amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and Israel-Lebanon border tensions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata—over alleged insulting social media posts—stands as the sharpest recent rebuke, prompting his departure within 72 hours, yet no full chief ambassador has been expelled. Vocal opposition calls in France, Britain, and elsewhere for such actions remain unheeded by executives prioritizing open channels for ceasefire talks, UN resolutions, and bilateral diplomacy. While recognitions of Palestine and trade suspensions proliferate, historical patterns show expulsions as rare amid active negotiations, though Iran proxy escalations or ICJ rulings could tip sentiment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Israeli ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where an Israeli ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a Israeli ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$19,418समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 55.5% on any country expelling an Israeli ambassador by December 31, reflecting governments' reluctance to escalate diplomatic ruptures amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and Israel-Lebanon border tensions. South Africa's January 30 declaration of Israel's deputy ambassador persona non grata—over alleged insulting social media posts—stands as the sharpest recent rebuke, prompting his departure within 72 hours, yet no full chief ambassador has been expelled. Vocal opposition calls in France, Britain, and elsewhere for such actions remain unheeded by executives prioritizing open channels for ceasefire talks, UN resolutions, and bilateral diplomacy. While recognitions of Palestine and trade suspensions proliferate, historical patterns show expulsions as rare amid active negotiations, though Iran proxy escalations or ICJ rulings could tip sentiment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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