Trader consensus implies an 78.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by the absence of formal normalization agreements despite U.S. diplomatic overtures. President Trump urged Saudi Arabia to accede in late March amid post-Iran war regional realignments, yet Riyadh maintains preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood progress, echoing historical hesitations. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry remains the most recent expansion, while Israel's January recognition of Somaliland has not yielded a confirmed Accords signing. Ongoing Middle East uncertainties, including Syrian transition talks and Gulf security concerns versus Iran, limit near-term prospects before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$21,461 वॉल्यूम
$21,461 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
$21,461 वॉल्यूम
$21,461 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies an 78.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by the absence of formal normalization agreements despite U.S. diplomatic overtures. President Trump urged Saudi Arabia to accede in late March amid post-Iran war regional realignments, yet Riyadh maintains preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood progress, echoing historical hesitations. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry remains the most recent expansion, while Israel's January recognition of Somaliland has not yielded a confirmed Accords signing. Ongoing Middle East uncertainties, including Syrian transition talks and Gulf security concerns versus Iran, limit near-term prospects before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,461समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus implies an 78.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by the absence of formal normalization agreements despite U.S. diplomatic overtures. President Trump urged Saudi Arabia to accede in late March amid post-Iran war regional realignments, yet Riyadh maintains preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood progress, echoing historical hesitations. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry remains the most recent expansion, while Israel's January recognition of Somaliland has not yielded a confirmed Accords signing. Ongoing Middle East uncertainties, including Syrian transition talks and Gulf security concerns versus Iran, limit near-term prospects before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$21,461समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies an 78.5% probability against a new country joining the Abraham Accords by June 30, driven by the absence of formal normalization agreements despite U.S. diplomatic overtures. President Trump urged Saudi Arabia to accede in late March amid post-Iran war regional realignments, yet Riyadh maintains preconditions tied to Palestinian statehood progress, echoing historical hesitations. Kazakhstan's November 2025 entry remains the most recent expansion, while Israel's January recognition of Somaliland has not yielded a confirmed Accords signing. Ongoing Middle East uncertainties, including Syrian transition talks and Gulf security concerns versus Iran, limit near-term prospects before the deadline.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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