Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 8–9 distinct commercial vessels successfully targeted by Iranian forces through April 30, reflecting verified tallies from the 2026 Iran war's Strait of Hormuz confrontations. The IRGC Navy's April 22 kinetic strikes on three ships—seizing MSC Francesca and Epaminondas while targeting a third—marked the final confirmed actions, elevating the cumulative count amid a U.S. naval blockade and fragile ceasefire talks that halted further escalation. No additional strikes or seizures materialized by month's end, as ship-tracking data and official reports solidified the 8–9 figure. Late verifications of unconfirmed prior incidents, attribution disputes distinguishing direct Iranian from proxy operations, or reclassifications of "successful" targeting could challenge this near-certain resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल तक ईरान कितने जहाजों को सफलतापूर्वक लक्षित करेगा?
30 अप्रैल तक ईरान कितने जहाजों को सफलतापूर्वक लक्षित करेगा?
8–9 100.0%
<2 <1%
2–3 <1%
4–5 <1%
$262,920 वॉल्यूम
$262,920 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
<2
नहीं
2–3
नहीं
4–5
नहीं
6-7
नहीं
8–9
हाँ
10+
नहीं
8–9 100.0%
<2 <1%
2–3 <1%
4–5 <1%
$262,920 वॉल्यूम
$262,920 वॉल्यूम
29 अप्रैल, 2026
<2
$24,731 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
2–3
$43,827 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
4–5
$52,806 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6-7
$45,107 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
8–9
$39,409 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
10+
$57,039 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 8–9 distinct commercial vessels successfully targeted by Iranian forces through April 30, reflecting verified tallies from the 2026 Iran war's Strait of Hormuz confrontations. The IRGC Navy's April 22 kinetic strikes on three ships—seizing MSC Francesca and Epaminondas while targeting a third—marked the final confirmed actions, elevating the cumulative count amid a U.S. naval blockade and fragile ceasefire talks that halted further escalation. No additional strikes or seizures materialized by month's end, as ship-tracking data and official reports solidified the 8–9 figure. Late verifications of unconfirmed prior incidents, attribution disputes distinguishing direct Iranian from proxy operations, or reclassifications of "successful" targeting could challenge this near-certain resolution.
This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$262,920समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 1:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 8–9 distinct commercial vessels successfully targeted by Iranian forces through April 30, reflecting verified tallies from the 2026 Iran war's Strait of Hormuz confrontations. The IRGC Navy's April 22 kinetic strikes on three ships—seizing MSC Francesca and Epaminondas while targeting a third—marked the final confirmed actions, elevating the cumulative count amid a U.S. naval blockade and fragile ceasefire talks that halted further escalation. No additional strikes or seizures materialized by month's end, as ship-tracking data and official reports solidified the 8–9 figure. Late verifications of unconfirmed prior incidents, attribution disputes distinguishing direct Iranian from proxy operations, or reclassifications of "successful" targeting could challenge this near-certain resolution.
This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$262,920समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 1:08 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 8–9 distinct commercial vessels successfully targeted by Iranian forces through April 30, reflecting verified tallies from the 2026 Iran war's Strait of Hormuz confrontations. The IRGC Navy's April 22 kinetic strikes on three ships—seizing MSC Francesca and Epaminondas while targeting a third—marked the final confirmed actions, elevating the cumulative count amid a U.S. naval blockade and fragile ceasefire talks that halted further escalation. No additional strikes or seizures materialized by month's end, as ship-tracking data and official reports solidified the 8–9 figure. Late verifications of unconfirmed prior incidents, attribution disputes distinguishing direct Iranian from proxy operations, or reclassifications of "successful" targeting could challenge this near-certain resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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