Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 96.3% for Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, reflecting the absence of any verified Iranian action despite late-March threats from the IRGC to target submarine cables in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea amid US-Iran conflict escalation. These warnings prompted contingency rerouting by Google and Meta and project delays like 2Africa Pearls, but no cuts occurred, underscoring mutual dependency—Iran relies on the same infrastructure—and risks of swift US, UK, French naval retaliation. With two weeks remaining, protective patrols and historical precedents of unexecuted threats sustain high confidence, though sudden military escalation or proxy actions by Houthis could shift odds before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या ईरान 30 अप्रैल तक समुद्र के नीचे इंटरनेट केबलों को तोड़फोड़ करेगा?
क्या ईरान 30 अप्रैल तक समुद्र के नीचे इंटरनेट केबलों को तोड़फोड़ करेगा?
हाँ
$88,435 वॉल्यूम
$88,435 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$88,435 वॉल्यूम
$88,435 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 96.3% for Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, reflecting the absence of any verified Iranian action despite late-March threats from the IRGC to target submarine cables in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea amid US-Iran conflict escalation. These warnings prompted contingency rerouting by Google and Meta and project delays like 2Africa Pearls, but no cuts occurred, underscoring mutual dependency—Iran relies on the same infrastructure—and risks of swift US, UK, French naval retaliation. With two weeks remaining, protective patrols and historical precedents of unexecuted threats sustain high confidence, though sudden military escalation or proxy actions by Houthis could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$88,435समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 96.3% for Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, reflecting the absence of any verified Iranian action despite late-March threats from the IRGC to target submarine cables in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea amid US-Iran conflict escalation. These warnings prompted contingency rerouting by Google and Meta and project delays like 2Africa Pearls, but no cuts occurred, underscoring mutual dependency—Iran relies on the same infrastructure—and risks of swift US, UK, French naval retaliation. With two weeks remaining, protective patrols and historical precedents of unexecuted threats sustain high confidence, though sudden military escalation or proxy actions by Houthis could shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran or Iranian-aligned groups damage undersea internet cables between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only actions that cause physical damage to the undersea internet cable infrastructure, e.g., physical sabotage, such as cutting, dragging, or explosive attacks, will be considered. Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Qualifying incidents must occur in the region spanning the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea, Gulf of Aden, and Red Sea, including areas surrounding the Arabian Peninsula.
Attempted attacks that do not result in damage, or actions that are intercepted or fail to impact the cables, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Incidents which are broadly attributed to Iranian forces or Iranian-aligned groups will qualify regardless of the absence of definitive evidence or official Iranian denials.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$88,435समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 96.3% for Iran sabotaging undersea internet cables by April 30, reflecting the absence of any verified Iranian action despite late-March threats from the IRGC to target submarine cables in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea amid US-Iran conflict escalation. These warnings prompted contingency rerouting by Google and Meta and project delays like 2Africa Pearls, but no cuts occurred, underscoring mutual dependency—Iran relies on the same infrastructure—and risks of swift US, UK, French naval retaliation. With two weeks remaining, protective patrols and historical precedents of unexecuted threats sustain high confidence, though sudden military escalation or proxy actions by Houthis could shift odds before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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