Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 63% for Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returning to pre-war levels by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism amid dueling U.S.-Iran blockades that have slashed transits by over 90% since late February. The U.S. Navy's enforcement starting April 13 deterred several vessels but allowed limited passages, including sanctioned tankers, while Iran maintains vetting and mine threats; this follows collapsed ceasefire talks and President Trump's April 12 announcement signaling potential reopening. Slow upticks to single-digit daily transits signal de-escalation pressures from surging oil prices and global supply strains, with upcoming U.S.-Iran negotiations eyed as a catalyst, though Iranian warnings of retaliation sustain uncertainty through late spring.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयामई के अंत तक होर्मुज़ जलडमरूमध्य का ट्रैफ़िक सामान्य हो जाएगा?
मई के अंत तक होर्मुज़ जलडमरूमध्य का ट्रैफ़िक सामान्य हो जाएगा?
हाँ
$842,624 वॉल्यूम
$842,624 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$842,624 वॉल्यूम
$842,624 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 63% for Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returning to pre-war levels by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism amid dueling U.S.-Iran blockades that have slashed transits by over 90% since late February. The U.S. Navy's enforcement starting April 13 deterred several vessels but allowed limited passages, including sanctioned tankers, while Iran maintains vetting and mine threats; this follows collapsed ceasefire talks and President Trump's April 12 announcement signaling potential reopening. Slow upticks to single-digit daily transits signal de-escalation pressures from surging oil prices and global supply strains, with upcoming U.S.-Iran negotiations eyed as a catalyst, though Iranian warnings of retaliation sustain uncertainty through late spring.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$842,624समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 63% for Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returning to pre-war levels by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism amid dueling U.S.-Iran blockades that have slashed transits by over 90% since late February. The U.S. Navy's enforcement starting April 13 deterred several vessels but allowed limited passages, including sanctioned tankers, while Iran maintains vetting and mine threats; this follows collapsed ceasefire talks and President Trump's April 12 announcement signaling potential reopening. Slow upticks to single-digit daily transits signal de-escalation pressures from surging oil prices and global supply strains, with upcoming U.S.-Iran negotiations eyed as a catalyst, though Iranian warnings of retaliation sustain uncertainty through late spring.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. However, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for May 31, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
वॉल्यूम
$842,624समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Yes" at 63% for Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic returning to pre-war levels by May 31, reflecting cautious optimism amid dueling U.S.-Iran blockades that have slashed transits by over 90% since late February. The U.S. Navy's enforcement starting April 13 deterred several vessels but allowed limited passages, including sanctioned tankers, while Iran maintains vetting and mine threats; this follows collapsed ceasefire talks and President Trump's April 12 announcement signaling potential reopening. Slow upticks to single-digit daily transits signal de-escalation pressures from surging oil prices and global supply strains, with upcoming U.S.-Iran negotiations eyed as a catalyst, though Iranian warnings of retaliation sustain uncertainty through late spring.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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