**Amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran military confrontation over the Strait of Hormuz, two U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyers transited the waterway on April 11 to initiate mine-clearing operations following Iran's earlier closure and mine deployment, marking the first such U.S. naval passage since escalation.** The U.S. is now enforcing a blockade on Iranian-linked vessels, turning back six merchant ships in the initial 24 hours while commercial traffic remains severely curtailed. President Trump has repeatedly called on allies like the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and even China to send warships for safe passage, though most nations have declined or shown reluctance. Indian Navy warships escorted commercial tankers through the strait in March. Stalled ceasefire negotiations in Islamabad heighten risks of further escalation or diplomatic shifts before the April 30 resolution, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on additional coalition naval transits.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल तक कौन से देश होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य के माध्यम से युद्धपोत भेजेंगे?
30 अप्रैल तक कौन से देश होर्मुज जलडमरूमध्य के माध्यम से युद्धपोत भेजेंगे?
$2,448,456 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
यूनाइटेड किंगडम
10%
फ्रांस
8%
पाकिस्तान
5%
भारत
4%
इटली
4%
जर्मनी
3%
नीदरलैंड्स
3%
ग्रीस
2%
जापान
2%
कनाडा
1%
$2,448,456 वॉल्यूम
यूनाइटेड किंगडम
$304,769 वॉल्यूम
10%
फ्रांस
$139,494 वॉल्यूम
8%
पाकिस्तान
$133,834 वॉल्यूम
5%
भारत
$166,528 वॉल्यूम
4%
इटली
$90,926 वॉल्यूम
4%
जर्मनी
$74,603 वॉल्यूम
3%
नीदरलैंड्स
$186,026 वॉल्यूम
3%
ग्रीस
$97,859 वॉल्यूम
2%
जापान
$235,280 वॉल्यूम
2%
कनाडा
$92,372 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran military confrontation over the Strait of Hormuz, two U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyers transited the waterway on April 11 to initiate mine-clearing operations following Iran's earlier closure and mine deployment, marking the first such U.S. naval passage since escalation.** The U.S. is now enforcing a blockade on Iranian-linked vessels, turning back six merchant ships in the initial 24 hours while commercial traffic remains severely curtailed. President Trump has repeatedly called on allies like the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and even China to send warships for safe passage, though most nations have declined or shown reluctance. Indian Navy warships escorted commercial tankers through the strait in March. Stalled ceasefire negotiations in Islamabad heighten risks of further escalation or diplomatic shifts before the April 30 resolution, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on additional coalition naval transits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,448,456समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran military confrontation over the Strait of Hormuz, two U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyers transited the waterway on April 11 to initiate mine-clearing operations following Iran's earlier closure and mine deployment, marking the first such U.S. naval passage since escalation.** The U.S. is now enforcing a blockade on Iranian-linked vessels, turning back six merchant ships in the initial 24 hours while commercial traffic remains severely curtailed. President Trump has repeatedly called on allies like the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and even China to send warships for safe passage, though most nations have declined or shown reluctance. Indian Navy warships escorted commercial tankers through the strait in March. Stalled ceasefire negotiations in Islamabad heighten risks of further escalation or diplomatic shifts before the April 30 resolution, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on additional coalition naval transits.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$2,448,456समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 27, 2026, 1:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran military confrontation over the Strait of Hormuz, two U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyers transited the waterway on April 11 to initiate mine-clearing operations following Iran's earlier closure and mine deployment, marking the first such U.S. naval passage since escalation.** The U.S. is now enforcing a blockade on Iranian-linked vessels, turning back six merchant ships in the initial 24 hours while commercial traffic remains severely curtailed. President Trump has repeatedly called on allies like the United Kingdom, France, Japan, South Korea, and even China to send warships for safe passage, though most nations have declined or shown reluctance. Indian Navy warships escorted commercial tankers through the strait in March. Stalled ceasefire negotiations in Islamabad heighten risks of further escalation or diplomatic shifts before the April 30 resolution, with trader consensus reflecting uncertainty on additional coalition naval transits.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न