In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus on Polymarket favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 60% implied probability for second place, reflecting ongoing official vote tabulation by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE). With over 90% of actas processed as of April 16, Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow lead at around 12% over Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, propelled by late-reporting rural and southern strongholds where his center-left platform resonates amid ballot delivery delays that slowed counting. Ipsos exit polls similarly projected Sánchez second (12.4% vs. Aliaga's 11.3%), aligning with the fragmented field where Keiko Fujimori leads first. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections will trigger market resolution ahead of a June 7 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयारॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो 61.3%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 38%
मारियो विजकारा <1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ <1%
$2,811,316 वॉल्यूम
$2,811,316 वॉल्यूम

रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
61%

राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा
38%

मारियो विजकारा
<1%

अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ
<1%

जोस लूना
<1%

एनरिके वल्देर्रामा
<1%

कार्लोस एस्पा
<1%

राफेल बेलाउन्दे ल्लोसा
<1%

मसीस ग्वेवारा
<1%

जॉर्ज फोर्सिथ
<1%

फिओरेला मोलिनेली
<1%

जोर्ज नीतो
<1%

सेसर अकुना
<1%

जोस विलियम्स
<1%

रिकार्डो बेलमोंट
<1%

केइको फुजीमोरी
<1%

कार्लोस अल्वारेज़
<1%

व्लादिमीर सेर्रोन
<1%

रॉबर्टो चियाब्रा
<1%

फर्नांडो ओलिवेरा
<1%

योन्ही लेसकैनो
<1%

मैरिसोल पेरेज़ टेलो
<1%

वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
<1%
रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो 61.3%
राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा 38%
मारियो विजकारा <1%
अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ <1%
$2,811,316 वॉल्यूम
$2,811,316 वॉल्यूम

रॉबर्टो सांचेज़ पालोमिनो
61%

राफेल लोपेज़ अलियागा
38%

मारियो विजकारा
<1%

अल्फोंसो लोपेज़ चाउ
<1%

जोस लूना
<1%

एनरिके वल्देर्रामा
<1%

कार्लोस एस्पा
<1%

राफेल बेलाउन्दे ल्लोसा
<1%

मसीस ग्वेवारा
<1%

जॉर्ज फोर्सिथ
<1%

फिओरेला मोलिनेली
<1%

जोर्ज नीतो
<1%

सेसर अकुना
<1%

जोस विलियम्स
<1%

रिकार्डो बेलमोंट
<1%

केइको फुजीमोरी
<1%

कार्लोस अल्वारेज़
<1%

व्लादिमीर सेर्रोन
<1%

रॉबर्टो चियाब्रा
<1%

फर्नांडो ओलिवेरा
<1%

योन्ही लेसकैनो
<1%

मैरिसोल पेरेज़ टेलो
<1%

वोल्फगैंग ग्रोज़ो
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus on Polymarket favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino at 60% implied probability for second place, reflecting ongoing official vote tabulation by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE). With over 90% of actas processed as of April 16, Sánchez Palomino holds a narrow lead at around 12% over Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, propelled by late-reporting rural and southern strongholds where his center-left platform resonates amid ballot delivery delays that slowed counting. Ipsos exit polls similarly projected Sánchez second (12.4% vs. Aliaga's 11.3%), aligning with the fragmented field where Keiko Fujimori leads first. Final certification by the National Jury of Elections will trigger market resolution ahead of a June 7 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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