Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding 69% implied probability on Polymarket to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting trader confidence in his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush (54%-43%) and incumbency advantages like superior fundraising and establishment backing. Bush, mounting a rematch after filing in March alongside Bell amid redistricting uncertainty, gained traction from a February HIT Strategies poll (her campaign-commissioned) showing a 44%-40% tie among likely Democratic primary voters, where she led favorability 52%-45% and district Democrats viewed Bell's past AIPAC support (40% unfavorable) alongside ICE (86% unfavorable) dimly. Traders discount the survey's sponsorship, prioritizing Bell's path-to-victory in this St. Louis-area battleground primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
4 अग, 2026
Wesley Bell
69%
Cori Bush
31%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
Wesley Bell
$2,820 वॉल्यूम
69%
Cori Bush
$2,454 वॉल्यूम
31%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding 69% implied probability on Polymarket to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting trader confidence in his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush (54%-43%) and incumbency advantages like superior fundraising and establishment backing. Bush, mounting a rematch after filing in March alongside Bell amid redistricting uncertainty, gained traction from a February HIT Strategies poll (her campaign-commissioned) showing a 44%-40% tie among likely Democratic primary voters, where she led favorability 52%-45% and district Democrats viewed Bell's past AIPAC support (40% unfavorable) alongside ICE (86% unfavorable) dimly. Traders discount the survey's sponsorship, prioritizing Bell's path-to-victory in this St. Louis-area battleground primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$5,274समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding 69% implied probability on Polymarket to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting trader confidence in his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush (54%-43%) and incumbency advantages like superior fundraising and establishment backing. Bush, mounting a rematch after filing in March alongside Bell amid redistricting uncertainty, gained traction from a February HIT Strategies poll (her campaign-commissioned) showing a 44%-40% tie among likely Democratic primary voters, where she led favorability 52%-45% and district Democrats viewed Bell's past AIPAC support (40% unfavorable) alongside ICE (86% unfavorable) dimly. Traders discount the survey's sponsorship, prioritizing Bell's path-to-victory in this St. Louis-area battleground primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
वॉल्यूम
$5,274समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding 69% implied probability on Polymarket to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting trader confidence in his 2024 primary upset over Cori Bush (54%-43%) and incumbency advantages like superior fundraising and establishment backing. Bush, mounting a rematch after filing in March alongside Bell amid redistricting uncertainty, gained traction from a February HIT Strategies poll (her campaign-commissioned) showing a 44%-40% tie among likely Democratic primary voters, where she led favorability 52%-45% and district Democrats viewed Bell's past AIPAC support (40% unfavorable) alongside ICE (86% unfavorable) dimly. Traders discount the survey's sponsorship, prioritizing Bell's path-to-victory in this St. Louis-area battleground primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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