Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 84.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party—Republicans hold a slim majority amid standard backlash trends—and persistent Democratic leads in generic ballot polls averaging D+5, per recent RealClear and Economist/YouGov surveys. More Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats) and Cook Political Report's recent shifts toward Democrats in 18 competitive races bolster projections of GOP losses exceeding the 10 seats needed for a flip, with models like Race to the WH forecasting D 228-207 R on average. Upcoming primaries and potential economic or foreign policy shifts could alter dynamics, though barriers to Republican retention remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 में सदन में कौन सी पार्टी जीतेगी?
2026 में सदन में कौन सी पार्टी जीतेगी?
$4,496,649 वॉल्यूम
$4,496,649 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
4% कमाएँ
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
85%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
15%
$4,496,649 वॉल्यूम
$4,496,649 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
4% कमाएँ
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$2,273,595 वॉल्यूम
85%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$2,223,197 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 84.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party—Republicans hold a slim majority amid standard backlash trends—and persistent Democratic leads in generic ballot polls averaging D+5, per recent RealClear and Economist/YouGov surveys. More Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats) and Cook Political Report's recent shifts toward Democrats in 18 competitive races bolster projections of GOP losses exceeding the 10 seats needed for a flip, with models like Race to the WH forecasting D 228-207 R on average. Upcoming primaries and potential economic or foreign policy shifts could alter dynamics, though barriers to Republican retention remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,496,649समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 84.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party—Republicans hold a slim majority amid standard backlash trends—and persistent Democratic leads in generic ballot polls averaging D+5, per recent RealClear and Economist/YouGov surveys. More Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats) and Cook Political Report's recent shifts toward Democrats in 18 competitive races bolster projections of GOP losses exceeding the 10 seats needed for a flip, with models like Race to the WH forecasting D 228-207 R on average. Upcoming primaries and potential economic or foreign policy shifts could alter dynamics, though barriers to Republican retention remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
वॉल्यूम
$4,496,649समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms at 84.5%, reflecting historical midterm penalties for the president's party—Republicans hold a slim majority amid standard backlash trends—and persistent Democratic leads in generic ballot polls averaging D+5, per recent RealClear and Economist/YouGov surveys. More Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats) and Cook Political Report's recent shifts toward Democrats in 18 competitive races bolster projections of GOP losses exceeding the 10 seats needed for a flip, with models like Race to the WH forecasting D 228-207 R on average. Upcoming primaries and potential economic or foreign policy shifts could alter dynamics, though barriers to Republican retention remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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