Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a November 2026 contest. The state's longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voting index and prior statewide results, supports Hinson's edge in trader pricing. Recent primary outcomes solidified both candidacies, with Hinson securing the GOP nod and Ernst's endorsement while Turek prevailed on the Democratic side. Polling has shown a tight race, with recent surveys placing the candidates within a few points and occasional leads for either side. Fundraising data indicates Hinson holding a monetary advantage heading into the general election cycle. These elements, combined with Iowa's electoral history, underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a modest margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाआयोवा सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
आयोवा सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$176,168 वॉल्यूम
$176,168 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एश्ली हिंसन (रिपब्लिकन)
56%
जोश तुरेक (डेमोक्रेट)
44%
$176,168 वॉल्यूम
$176,168 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एश्ली हिंसन (रिपब्लिकन)
$86,983 वॉल्यूम
56%
जोश तुरेक (डेमोक्रेट)
$89,185 वॉल्यूम
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a November 2026 contest. The state's longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voting index and prior statewide results, supports Hinson's edge in trader pricing. Recent primary outcomes solidified both candidacies, with Hinson securing the GOP nod and Ernst's endorsement while Turek prevailed on the Democratic side. Polling has shown a tight race, with recent surveys placing the candidates within a few points and occasional leads for either side. Fundraising data indicates Hinson holding a monetary advantage heading into the general election cycle. These elements, combined with Iowa's electoral history, underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a modest margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$176,168समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a November 2026 contest. The state's longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voting index and prior statewide results, supports Hinson's edge in trader pricing. Recent primary outcomes solidified both candidacies, with Hinson securing the GOP nod and Ernst's endorsement while Turek prevailed on the Democratic side. Polling has shown a tight race, with recent surveys placing the candidates within a few points and occasional leads for either side. Fundraising data indicates Hinson holding a monetary advantage heading into the general election cycle. These elements, combined with Iowa's electoral history, underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a modest margin.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$176,168समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson and Democratic nominee Josh Turek in a November 2026 contest. The state's longstanding Republican tilt, reinforced by its partisan voting index and prior statewide results, supports Hinson's edge in trader pricing. Recent primary outcomes solidified both candidacies, with Hinson securing the GOP nod and Ernst's endorsement while Turek prevailed on the Democratic side. Polling has shown a tight race, with recent surveys placing the candidates within a few points and occasional leads for either side. Fundraising data indicates Hinson holding a monetary advantage heading into the general election cycle. These elements, combined with Iowa's electoral history, underpin the current market consensus favoring the Republican nominee by a modest margin.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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