Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Hinson secured her nomination decisively with endorsements from Trump and Ernst, while Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Recent polling through early August shows a tight contest, with Hinson holding small leads in most surveys amid Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinson's fundraising edge and the state's partisan baseline support her 56.5% trader consensus probability, though Turek's profile keeps the outcome closely contested heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाआयोवा सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
आयोवा सीनेट चुनाव विजेता
$178,943 वॉल्यूम
$178,943 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एश्ली हिंसन (रिपब्लिकन)
56%
जोश तुरेक (डेमोक्रेट)
44%
$178,943 वॉल्यूम
$178,943 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
एश्ली हिंसन (रिपब्लिकन)
$89,531 वॉल्यूम
56%
जोश तुरेक (डेमोक्रेट)
$89,412 वॉल्यूम
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Hinson secured her nomination decisively with endorsements from Trump and Ernst, while Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Recent polling through early August shows a tight contest, with Hinson holding small leads in most surveys amid Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinson's fundraising edge and the state's partisan baseline support her 56.5% trader consensus probability, though Turek's profile keeps the outcome closely contested heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$178,943समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Hinson secured her nomination decisively with endorsements from Trump and Ernst, while Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Recent polling through early August shows a tight contest, with Hinson holding small leads in most surveys amid Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinson's fundraising edge and the state's partisan baseline support her 56.5% trader consensus probability, though Turek's profile keeps the outcome closely contested heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$178,943समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democrat Josh Turek in a race rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters. Hinson secured her nomination decisively with endorsements from Trump and Ernst, while Turek prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary. Recent polling through early August shows a tight contest, with Hinson holding small leads in most surveys amid Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt. Hinson's fundraising edge and the state's partisan baseline support her 56.5% trader consensus probability, though Turek's profile keeps the outcome closely contested heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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