The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s redrawn 9th Congressional District, set for August 18, 2026, features five main contenders with closely aligned market prices reflecting limited name recognition and no dominant frontrunner. Steve Rance’s recent entry as an Air Force veteran and pastor has drawn some endorsements and helped him edge ahead in trader consensus, while Thomas Chalifoux maintains an edge in self-funded resources from prior cycles. Jorge Malavet, Marcus Carter, and Justin Story compete on similar conservative themes without standout advantages yet. The new map’s Republican tilt has drawn a broader field than usual, keeping probabilities tight as voters weigh backgrounds in a low-information contest. Upcoming campaign finance filings, endorsements from state or national figures, and candidate debates could shift momentum by clarifying policy differences or organizational strength ahead of the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहॉवर्ड स्टीवन रेंस 40.1%
जस्टिन स्टोरी 12.8%
जॉर्ज मालेवेट 0
मार्कस कार्टर 0
$20,101 वॉल्यूम
$20,101 वॉल्यूम
हॉवर्ड स्टीवन रेंस
40%
जस्टिन स्टोरी
13%
जॉर्ज मालेवेट
37%
मार्कस कार्टर
29%
थॉमस चालिफूक्स
39%
हॉवर्ड स्टीवन रेंस 40.1%
जस्टिन स्टोरी 12.8%
जॉर्ज मालेवेट 0
मार्कस कार्टर 0
$20,101 वॉल्यूम
$20,101 वॉल्यूम
हॉवर्ड स्टीवन रेंस
40%
जस्टिन स्टोरी
13%
जॉर्ज मालेवेट
37%
मार्कस कार्टर
29%
थॉमस चालिफूक्स
39%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s redrawn 9th Congressional District, set for August 18, 2026, features five main contenders with closely aligned market prices reflecting limited name recognition and no dominant frontrunner. Steve Rance’s recent entry as an Air Force veteran and pastor has drawn some endorsements and helped him edge ahead in trader consensus, while Thomas Chalifoux maintains an edge in self-funded resources from prior cycles. Jorge Malavet, Marcus Carter, and Justin Story compete on similar conservative themes without standout advantages yet. The new map’s Republican tilt has drawn a broader field than usual, keeping probabilities tight as voters weigh backgrounds in a low-information contest. Upcoming campaign finance filings, endorsements from state or national figures, and candidate debates could shift momentum by clarifying policy differences or organizational strength ahead of the primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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