Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's strong position in deep-red South Carolina drives trader consensus toward a 76% implied probability of a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement and primary challenger Paul Dans's withdrawal on April 10 amid Trump's criticism of rivals. Recent polls, including Impact Research in early March showing Graham leading pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect competitiveness but align with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, factoring in incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns. The fragmented Democratic primary field—with Andrews, Brandon Brown, and others vying for the June 9 nomination—further tilts odds against a flip, though Graham's soft approval ratings keep the race monitored ahead of the GOP primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$22,680 वॉल्यूम
$22,680 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
76%
डेमोक्रेट
24%
$22,680 वॉल्यूम
$22,680 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन
$7,681 वॉल्यूम
76%
डेमोक्रेट
$14,999 वॉल्यूम
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's strong position in deep-red South Carolina drives trader consensus toward a 76% implied probability of a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement and primary challenger Paul Dans's withdrawal on April 10 amid Trump's criticism of rivals. Recent polls, including Impact Research in early March showing Graham leading pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect competitiveness but align with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, factoring in incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns. The fragmented Democratic primary field—with Andrews, Brandon Brown, and others vying for the June 9 nomination—further tilts odds against a flip, though Graham's soft approval ratings keep the race monitored ahead of the GOP primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$22,680समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's strong position in deep-red South Carolina drives trader consensus toward a 76% implied probability of a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement and primary challenger Paul Dans's withdrawal on April 10 amid Trump's criticism of rivals. Recent polls, including Impact Research in early March showing Graham leading pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect competitiveness but align with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, factoring in incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns. The fragmented Democratic primary field—with Andrews, Brandon Brown, and others vying for the June 9 nomination—further tilts odds against a flip, though Graham's soft approval ratings keep the race monitored ahead of the GOP primary.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$22,680समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham's strong position in deep-red South Carolina drives trader consensus toward a 76% implied probability of a GOP victory in the November 2026 general election, bolstered by President Trump's recent endorsement and primary challenger Paul Dans's withdrawal on April 10 amid Trump's criticism of rivals. Recent polls, including Impact Research in early March showing Graham leading pediatrician Annie Andrews 47%-42%, reflect competitiveness but align with Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, factoring in incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns. The fragmented Democratic primary field—with Andrews, Brandon Brown, and others vying for the June 9 nomination—further tilts odds against a flip, though Graham's soft approval ratings keep the race monitored ahead of the GOP primary.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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