Joaquin Castro's commanding position in the TX-20 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in the San Antonio area, where he has served as incumbent since 2013. Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican Edgardo Rafael Baez advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and Castro's prior general election margins. Castro also holds a substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $397,000 compared to Baez's roughly $32,000. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the limited path for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-20 House Election Winner
TX-20 House Election Winner
$27,217 वॉल्यूम
$27,217 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जोआक्विन कास्त्रो (डेमोक्रेट)
95%
एडगार्डो राफेल बाज़ (रिपब्लिकन)
6%
$27,217 वॉल्यूम
$27,217 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
जोआक्विन कास्त्रो (डेमोक्रेट)
$12,524 वॉल्यूम
95%
एडगार्डो राफेल बाज़ (रिपब्लिकन)
$14,693 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joaquin Castro's commanding position in the TX-20 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in the San Antonio area, where he has served as incumbent since 2013. Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican Edgardo Rafael Baez advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and Castro's prior general election margins. Castro also holds a substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $397,000 compared to Baez's roughly $32,000. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the limited path for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$27,217समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Joaquin Castro's commanding position in the TX-20 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in the San Antonio area, where he has served as incumbent since 2013. Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican Edgardo Rafael Baez advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and Castro's prior general election margins. Castro also holds a substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $397,000 compared to Baez's roughly $32,000. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the limited path for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$27,217समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Joaquin Castro's commanding position in the TX-20 race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean in the San Antonio area, where he has served as incumbent since 2013. Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote against minor challengers, while Republican Edgardo Rafael Baez advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan voting index and Castro's prior general election margins. Castro also holds a substantial fundraising lead, exceeding $397,000 compared to Baez's roughly $32,000. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, trader consensus on these probabilities reflects the limited path for an upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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