Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59.5% implied probability for a Democrat to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—triggered by JD Vance's vice presidency—with former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading polls against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Recent surveys from March 2026, including EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and others showing narrow Brown edges or ties within margins of error, have sustained Democratic momentum despite mixed results. Brown's fundraising dominance, raising millions more than Husted in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 per April 15 reports, offsets GOP plans for $79 million in super PAC support. With May 5 primaries approaching, the closely contested battleground matchup and midterm headwinds for the president's party underpin the odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$68,249 वॉल्यूम
$68,249 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
60%
रिपब्लिकन
41%
$68,249 वॉल्यूम
$68,249 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेट
$39,307 वॉल्यूम
60%
रिपब्लिकन
$28,942 वॉल्यूम
41%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59.5% implied probability for a Democrat to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—triggered by JD Vance's vice presidency—with former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading polls against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Recent surveys from March 2026, including EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and others showing narrow Brown edges or ties within margins of error, have sustained Democratic momentum despite mixed results. Brown's fundraising dominance, raising millions more than Husted in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 per April 15 reports, offsets GOP plans for $79 million in super PAC support. With May 5 primaries approaching, the closely contested battleground matchup and midterm headwinds for the president's party underpin the odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$68,249समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59.5% implied probability for a Democrat to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—triggered by JD Vance's vice presidency—with former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading polls against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Recent surveys from March 2026, including EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and others showing narrow Brown edges or ties within margins of error, have sustained Democratic momentum despite mixed results. Brown's fundraising dominance, raising millions more than Husted in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 per April 15 reports, offsets GOP plans for $79 million in super PAC support. With May 5 primaries approaching, the closely contested battleground matchup and midterm headwinds for the president's party underpin the odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$68,249समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 59.5% implied probability for a Democrat to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election—triggered by JD Vance's vice presidency—with former Sen. Sherrod Brown leading polls against appointed Republican incumbent Jon Husted. Recent surveys from March 2026, including EMC Research (Brown 51%-47%) and others showing narrow Brown edges or ties within margins of error, have sustained Democratic momentum despite mixed results. Brown's fundraising dominance, raising millions more than Husted in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 per April 15 reports, offsets GOP plans for $79 million in super PAC support. With May 5 primaries approaching, the closely contested battleground matchup and midterm headwinds for the president's party underpin the odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न