Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाKS -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
KS -04 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$28,832 वॉल्यूम
$28,832 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
87%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
13%
$28,832 वॉल्यूम
$28,832 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$16,542 वॉल्यूम
87%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$12,291 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,832समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$28,832समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Ron Estes (R), seeking a sixth term in the solidly Republican KS-04—a district with an R+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index—faces no primary challengers, bolstering trader consensus at heavy Republican favoritism amid strong historical margins exceeding 60% in recent cycles. Multiple Democrats, including Chris Carmichael and Katy Tyndell, compete in a fragmented primary set for August 4, but their fundraising lags far behind Estes' $1.6 million cash on hand as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Republican), Inside Elections (Solid Republican), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Safe Republican) underscore low flip risk, with no polling or late-breaking developments in the past 30 days altering the entrenched GOP advantage ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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