Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore, where long-serving incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote against a primary challenger. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Earlier Democratic-led redistricting proposals aimed at improving competitiveness did not advance, preserving the current map. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or campaign developments altering the baseline partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns, Harris's incumbency edge, and limited Democratic path to victory in this cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMD -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MD -01 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$30,417 वॉल्यूम
$30,417 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
84%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
17%
$30,417 वॉल्यूम
$30,417 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$18,335 वॉल्यूम
84%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$12,082 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore, where long-serving incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote against a primary challenger. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Earlier Democratic-led redistricting proposals aimed at improving competitiveness did not advance, preserving the current map. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or campaign developments altering the baseline partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns, Harris's incumbency edge, and limited Democratic path to victory in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$30,417समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore, where long-serving incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote against a primary challenger. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Earlier Democratic-led redistricting proposals aimed at improving competitiveness did not advance, preserving the current map. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or campaign developments altering the baseline partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns, Harris's incumbency edge, and limited Democratic path to victory in this cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$30,417समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Republican-leaning seat on the Eastern Shore, where long-serving incumbent Andy Harris secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote against a primary challenger. Democratic nominee Dan Schwartz emerged from a crowded primary but faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Earlier Democratic-led redistricting proposals aimed at improving competitiveness did not advance, preserving the current map. With the November 2026 general election still months away and no major polling shifts or campaign developments altering the baseline partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns, Harris's incumbency edge, and limited Democratic path to victory in this cycle.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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