Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 39% implied probability to win Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and perceived electability in the battleground general election matchup against likely Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. Recent March polls, including Patriot Polling (Hong 27%, Barnes 18%, Rodriguez 6% among 43% undecided) and Marquette Law School (Hong 14%, Barnes 11% amid 65% undecided), show state Rep. Francesca Hong surging slightly ahead but with the crowded field—featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 27% odds—and low voter awareness leaving room for shifts via endorsements, debates, or fundraising before the primary. High undecided rates underscore the fluid race dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMandela Barnes 39%
Francesca Hong 27.5%
Sara Rodriguez 27%
David Crowley 3.2%
$48,717 वॉल्यूम
$48,717 वॉल्यूम
Mandela Barnes
39%
Francesca Hong
27%
Sara Rodriguez
27%
David Crowley
3%
Kelda Roys
2%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Mandela Barnes 39%
Francesca Hong 27.5%
Sara Rodriguez 27%
David Crowley 3.2%
$48,717 वॉल्यूम
$48,717 वॉल्यूम
Mandela Barnes
39%
Francesca Hong
27%
Sara Rodriguez
27%
David Crowley
3%
Kelda Roys
2%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
<1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Joel Brennan
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors former Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes at 39% implied probability to win Wisconsin's August 11 Democratic gubernatorial primary, reflecting his strong statewide name recognition from the 2022 U.S. Senate race and perceived electability in the battleground general election matchup against likely Republican nominee Tom Tiffany. Recent March polls, including Patriot Polling (Hong 27%, Barnes 18%, Rodriguez 6% among 43% undecided) and Marquette Law School (Hong 14%, Barnes 11% amid 65% undecided), show state Rep. Francesca Hong surging slightly ahead but with the crowded field—featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 27% odds—and low voter awareness leaving room for shifts via endorsements, debates, or fundraising before the primary. High undecided rates underscore the fluid race dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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