Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 victory. Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Baltimore demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A late national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMD -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
MD -02 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$12,812 वॉल्यूम
$12,812 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$12,812 वॉल्यूम
$12,812 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,118 वॉल्यूम
93%
Republican Party
$2,694 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 victory. Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Baltimore demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A late national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,812समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 victory. Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Baltimore demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A late national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$12,812समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 2024 victory. Johnny Olszewski secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican nominee Dave Wallace in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban Baltimore demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 92.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a shift. A late national Republican surge, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
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