Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The Southern Tier seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, producing a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed after the June Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—align with the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 89.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments since the primaries have altered the underlying dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -23 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
NY -23 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$21,149 वॉल्यूम
$21,149 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
90%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
11%
$21,149 वॉल्यूम
$21,149 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$9,370 वॉल्यूम
90%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$11,779 वॉल्यूम
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The Southern Tier seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, producing a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed after the June Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—align with the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 89.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments since the primaries have altered the underlying dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$21,149समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The Southern Tier seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, producing a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed after the June Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—align with the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 89.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments since the primaries have altered the underlying dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$21,149समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. The Southern Tier seat carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered a 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, producing a solid Republican rating from nonpartisan forecasters. Langworthy advanced unopposed after the June Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination. These structural factors—incumbency, consistent partisan lean, and absence of competitive primary challenges—align with the current trader consensus assigning the Republican Party an 89.5 percent implied probability of victory. No major developments since the primaries have altered the underlying dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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