The redistricting of Texas's 9th congressional district shifted its boundaries eastward into Houston suburbs and exurban areas like Pasadena, Baytown, and parts of Liberty County, transforming the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold into one that delivered 59.5% for Donald Trump in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run in the newly configured 18th district instead, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer, an investment banker, prevailed in the March 2026 primary and May runoff over more conservative challengers, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez secured her party's nomination. These factors, combined with the district's current partisan lean and the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80% implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX-09 House Election Winner
TX-09 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
17%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$6,497 वॉल्यूम
80%
Democratic Party
$3,372 वॉल्यूम
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redistricting of Texas's 9th congressional district shifted its boundaries eastward into Houston suburbs and exurban areas like Pasadena, Baytown, and parts of Liberty County, transforming the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold into one that delivered 59.5% for Donald Trump in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run in the newly configured 18th district instead, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer, an investment banker, prevailed in the March 2026 primary and May runoff over more conservative challengers, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez secured her party's nomination. These factors, combined with the district's current partisan lean and the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,869समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redistricting of Texas's 9th congressional district shifted its boundaries eastward into Houston suburbs and exurban areas like Pasadena, Baytown, and parts of Liberty County, transforming the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold into one that delivered 59.5% for Donald Trump in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run in the newly configured 18th district instead, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer, an investment banker, prevailed in the March 2026 primary and May runoff over more conservative challengers, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez secured her party's nomination. These factors, combined with the district's current partisan lean and the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80% implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,869समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redistricting of Texas's 9th congressional district shifted its boundaries eastward into Houston suburbs and exurban areas like Pasadena, Baytown, and parts of Liberty County, transforming the seat from a long-held Democratic stronghold into one that delivered 59.5% for Donald Trump in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run in the newly configured 18th district instead, leaving an open seat. Republican nominee Alex Mealer, an investment banker, prevailed in the March 2026 primary and May runoff over more conservative challengers, while Democrat Leticia Gutierrez secured her party's nomination. These factors, combined with the district's current partisan lean and the broader 2026 midterm environment, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 80% implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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