Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाFL-09 House Election Winner
FL-09 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
75%
Republican Party
23%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,727 वॉल्यूम
75%
Republican Party
$1,686 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,413समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,413समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto's strong reelection in 2024 by a 13-point margin in Florida's 9th Congressional District—a D+4 seat with heavy Puerto Rican influence—anchors trader consensus at 75% for a Democratic hold, despite the district's narrow 3.5-point edge for Kamala Harris amid Republican gains among Hispanic voters. Ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic), Inside Elections (Solid Democratic), and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Likely Democratic) as of mid-April reflect the lack of a formidable GOP recruit, with the Republican primary field featuring 2024 losers Thomas Chalifoux and Marcus Carter alongside newcomers like Howard Steven Rance. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but Democratic wins in March state special elections signal potential momentum; watch for June filing deadlines, August 18 primaries, and national midterm dynamics that could shift odds.
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