City Councilmember Nithya Raman leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, propelled by a March 30 Loyola Marymount poll showing her ahead of incumbent Karen Bass 33%-17% amid widespread voter frustration over persistent homelessness, budget deficits, and slow post-Palisades Fire recovery. Bass trails at 29% despite incumbency advantages and a recent April 7 endorsement from the Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce, hampered by 56% unfavorability ratings in March Berkeley IGS polling. Reality TV star Spencer Pratt's 19% positioning reflects his outsider surge via fire victim advocacy and viral media stints targeting waste in city spending, as 40% of voters remain undecided per an April UCLA Luskin survey ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary and potential November runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानित्या रामन 45%
करेन बैस 29%
स्पेंसर प्रैट 19%
राए हुआंग 4.9%
$893,652 वॉल्यूम
$893,652 वॉल्यूम
नित्या रामन
45%
करेन बैस
29%
स्पेंसर प्रैट
19%
राए हुआंग
5%
एडम मिलर
2%
असआद अलनज्जार
1%
जीना वायोला
1%
रिक कैरूसो
<1%
ऑस्टिन ब्यूटनर
<1%
मोनिका रोड्रिगेज
<1%
लिंडसे होरवाथ
<1%
नित्या रामन 45%
करेन बैस 29%
स्पेंसर प्रैट 19%
राए हुआंग 4.9%
$893,652 वॉल्यूम
$893,652 वॉल्यूम
नित्या रामन
45%
करेन बैस
29%
स्पेंसर प्रैट
19%
राए हुआंग
5%
एडम मिलर
2%
असआद अलनज्जार
1%
जीना वायोला
1%
रिक कैरूसो
<1%
ऑस्टिन ब्यूटनर
<1%
मोनिका रोड्रिगेज
<1%
लिंडसे होरवाथ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
बाज़ार खुला: Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...City Councilmember Nithya Raman leads trader consensus at 45% implied probability for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, propelled by a March 30 Loyola Marymount poll showing her ahead of incumbent Karen Bass 33%-17% amid widespread voter frustration over persistent homelessness, budget deficits, and slow post-Palisades Fire recovery. Bass trails at 29% despite incumbency advantages and a recent April 7 endorsement from the Los Angeles Area Chamber of Commerce, hampered by 56% unfavorability ratings in March Berkeley IGS polling. Reality TV star Spencer Pratt's 19% positioning reflects his outsider surge via fire victim advocacy and viral media stints targeting waste in city spending, as 40% of voters remain undecided per an April UCLA Luskin survey ahead of the June 2 nonpartisan primary and potential November runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न