Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s dominant June 2026 primary performance and the district’s established Democratic registration advantage anchor trader pricing for the CA-36 House seat. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index and history of large margins. Lieu advanced comfortably alongside Republican Houston Brignano, while limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling have kept the contest non-competitive. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a high implied probability reflecting these structural factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA-36 House Election Winner
CA-36 House Election Winner
$35,241 वॉल्यूम
$35,241 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$35,241 वॉल्यूम
$35,241 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,297 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$28,944 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s dominant June 2026 primary performance and the district’s established Democratic registration advantage anchor trader pricing for the CA-36 House seat. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index and history of large margins. Lieu advanced comfortably alongside Republican Houston Brignano, while limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling have kept the contest non-competitive. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a high implied probability reflecting these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$35,241समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s dominant June 2026 primary performance and the district’s established Democratic registration advantage anchor trader pricing for the CA-36 House seat. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index and history of large margins. Lieu advanced comfortably alongside Republican Houston Brignano, while limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling have kept the contest non-competitive. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a high implied probability reflecting these structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$35,241समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s dominant June 2026 primary performance and the district’s established Democratic registration advantage anchor trader pricing for the CA-36 House seat. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the seat’s D+21 Partisan Voter Index and history of large margins. Lieu advanced comfortably alongside Republican Houston Brignano, while limited Republican fundraising and the absence of competitive polling have kept the contest non-competitive. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late shifts absent an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a high implied probability reflecting these structural factors.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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