Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement in early February 2026 postponed parliamentary and local council elections from May 2026 to March 2027, citing drought, security concerns, and logistical hurdles, driving trader consensus to 75% for no election before 2027 amid the region's history of repeated delays like the presidential vote shifted from 2021 to November 2024. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, of Waddani, recently addressed parliament emphasizing NEC authority over timelines while committing to stability, but no reversal has materialized. Kulmiye edges UCID as leading parties at 15% and 13.9% implied probabilities, based on their prior House of Representatives dominance, with Waddani at 1.4% despite the incumbent president's party status.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
सोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 75%
कुलमिये 15.0%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 13.9%
वदानी 1.4%
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
75%
कुलमिये
15%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
14%
वदानी
1%
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 75%
कुलमिये 15.0%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 13.9%
वदानी 1.4%
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
$16,283 वॉल्यूम
31 मार्च, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
$8,480 वॉल्यूम
75%
कुलमिये
$2,187 वॉल्यूम
15%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
$3,751 वॉल्यूम
14%
वदानी
$1,865 वॉल्यूम
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement in early February 2026 postponed parliamentary and local council elections from May 2026 to March 2027, citing drought, security concerns, and logistical hurdles, driving trader consensus to 75% for no election before 2027 amid the region's history of repeated delays like the presidential vote shifted from 2021 to November 2024. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, of Waddani, recently addressed parliament emphasizing NEC authority over timelines while committing to stability, but no reversal has materialized. Kulmiye edges UCID as leading parties at 15% and 13.9% implied probabilities, based on their prior House of Representatives dominance, with Waddani at 1.4% despite the incumbent president's party status.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$16,283समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement in early February 2026 postponed parliamentary and local council elections from May 2026 to March 2027, citing drought, security concerns, and logistical hurdles, driving trader consensus to 75% for no election before 2027 amid the region's history of repeated delays like the presidential vote shifted from 2021 to November 2024. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, of Waddani, recently addressed parliament emphasizing NEC authority over timelines while committing to stability, but no reversal has materialized. Kulmiye edges UCID as leading parties at 15% and 13.9% implied probabilities, based on their prior House of Representatives dominance, with Waddani at 1.4% despite the incumbent president's party status.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
वॉल्यूम
$16,283समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's National Electoral Commission (NEC) announcement in early February 2026 postponed parliamentary and local council elections from May 2026 to March 2027, citing drought, security concerns, and logistical hurdles, driving trader consensus to 75% for no election before 2027 amid the region's history of repeated delays like the presidential vote shifted from 2021 to November 2024. President Abdirahman Mohamed Abdullahi Irro, of Waddani, recently addressed parliament emphasizing NEC authority over timelines while committing to stability, but no reversal has materialized. Kulmiye edges UCID as leading parties at 15% and 13.9% implied probabilities, based on their prior House of Representatives dominance, with Waddani at 1.4% despite the incumbent president's party status.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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