Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027 amid recurring logistical, financial, and security hurdles that have historically prompted term extensions by the House of Elders. This outcome underpins the dominant trader consensus around no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated past delays and the National Electoral Commission's role in sequencing contests among the three registered parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Factors sustaining this positioning include ongoing institutional preparations and regional stability concerns. Scenarios that could shift probabilities involve swift resolution of funding and technical barriers, renewed political agreements among stakeholders, or unexpected security improvements enabling an earlier ballot within the current mandate period.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
सोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 95%
वदानी 2.7%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 1.4%
कुलमिये <1%
$94,248 वॉल्यूम
$94,248 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
95%
वदानी
3%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
1%
कुलमिये
1%
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 95%
वदानी 2.7%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 1.4%
कुलमिये <1%
$94,248 वॉल्यूम
$94,248 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
$84,520 वॉल्यूम
95%
वदानी
$2,522 वॉल्यूम
3%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
$4,193 वॉल्यूम
1%
कुलमिये
$3,013 वॉल्यूम
1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027 amid recurring logistical, financial, and security hurdles that have historically prompted term extensions by the House of Elders. This outcome underpins the dominant trader consensus around no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated past delays and the National Electoral Commission's role in sequencing contests among the three registered parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Factors sustaining this positioning include ongoing institutional preparations and regional stability concerns. Scenarios that could shift probabilities involve swift resolution of funding and technical barriers, renewed political agreements among stakeholders, or unexpected security improvements enabling an earlier ballot within the current mandate period.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$94,248समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027 amid recurring logistical, financial, and security hurdles that have historically prompted term extensions by the House of Elders. This outcome underpins the dominant trader consensus around no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated past delays and the National Electoral Commission's role in sequencing contests among the three registered parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Factors sustaining this positioning include ongoing institutional preparations and regional stability concerns. Scenarios that could shift probabilities involve swift resolution of funding and technical barriers, renewed political agreements among stakeholders, or unexpected security improvements enabling an earlier ballot within the current mandate period.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
वॉल्यूम
$94,248समाप्ति तिथि
31 मार्च, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026 alongside local council votes, were postponed to March 2027 amid recurring logistical, financial, and security hurdles that have historically prompted term extensions by the House of Elders. This outcome underpins the dominant trader consensus around no vote before 2027, reflecting repeated past delays and the National Electoral Commission's role in sequencing contests among the three registered parties—Waddani, Kulmiye, and UCID. Factors sustaining this positioning include ongoing institutional preparations and regional stability concerns. Scenarios that could shift probabilities involve swift resolution of funding and technical barriers, renewed political agreements among stakeholders, or unexpected security improvements enabling an earlier ballot within the current mandate period.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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