Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, reflecting her commanding leads in recent polls following former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement declining to run again. The Liaison Strategies survey released March 10 showed Chow at 44%, ahead of challenger Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%, underscoring her incumbency advantage and steady voter support amid undecideds. Bradford, who declared his candidacy post-Tory, positions as the primary contender at 11%, while 2023 runners-up Ana Bailão (6%) and others linger low amid a fragmented field. Chow's re-election intentions remain unconfirmed, but her polling strength drives the market; shifts could arise from major announcements, campaign momentum, or economic pressures before ballots close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOlivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.6%
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
11%
Ana Bailão
6%
John Tory
3%
Kevin Clarke
2%
Michael Ford
2%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
Olivia Chow 77%
Brad Bradford 11%
Ana Bailão 6%
John Tory 2.6%
Olivia Chow
77%
Brad Bradford
11%
Ana Bailão
6%
John Tory
3%
Kevin Clarke
2%
Michael Ford
2%
Anthony Furey
1%
Marco Mendicino
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow dominates trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto municipal election, reflecting her commanding leads in recent polls following former Mayor John Tory's early March announcement declining to run again. The Liaison Strategies survey released March 10 showed Chow at 44%, ahead of challenger Brad Bradford's 26% and Michael Ford's 16%, underscoring her incumbency advantage and steady voter support amid undecideds. Bradford, who declared his candidacy post-Tory, positions as the primary contender at 11%, while 2023 runners-up Ana Bailão (6%) and others linger low amid a fragmented field. Chow's re-election intentions remain unconfirmed, but her polling strength drives the market; shifts could arise from major announcements, campaign momentum, or economic pressures before ballots close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न