Trader consensus prices United Russia securing 340–355 seats at 28.5% and 355+ at 31.5% in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting recent FOM and VCIOM polls showing party-list support declining to 29–41% amid economic pressures like rising prices and internet restrictions fueling discontent. Administrative advantages, including redistricting, expanded electronic voting, and opposition suppression, ensure dominance in single-member constituencies alongside proportional representation gains, but softening turnout and war fatigue cap supermajority prospects. Ongoing United Russia primaries through April, with 17% war veteran applicants, and June congress candidate approvals could boost militarized appeal; further war escalations or economic relief might widen leads toward higher bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHow many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
How many seats will United Russia win in the next Russian legislative election?
355+ 32%
340–354 29%
325–339 15%
310–324 14.0%
$10,091 वॉल्यूम
$10,091 वॉल्यूम
<280
4%
280–294
2%
295–309
12%
310–324
14%
325–339
15%
340–354
29%
355+
32%
355+ 32%
340–354 29%
325–339 15%
310–324 14.0%
$10,091 वॉल्यूम
$10,091 वॉल्यूम
<280
4%
280–294
2%
295–309
12%
310–324
14%
325–339
15%
340–354
29%
355+
32%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices United Russia securing 340–355 seats at 28.5% and 355+ at 31.5% in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting recent FOM and VCIOM polls showing party-list support declining to 29–41% amid economic pressures like rising prices and internet restrictions fueling discontent. Administrative advantages, including redistricting, expanded electronic voting, and opposition suppression, ensure dominance in single-member constituencies alongside proportional representation gains, but softening turnout and war fatigue cap supermajority prospects. Ongoing United Russia primaries through April, with 17% war veteran applicants, and June congress candidate approvals could boost militarized appeal; further war escalations or economic relief might widen leads toward higher bins.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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