Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin lead for Candidate M at 49.5% implied probability to win Colombia's presidency, ahead of Paloma Valencia (41.4%) and Iván Cepeda Castro (37.5%), reflecting a fragmented field six weeks before the May 31 first-round vote. Recent AtlasIntel polling (April 6-9) shows Cepeda leading the first round at 39% versus Valencia's 24% and Abelardo de la Espriella's 28%, but traders favor right-leaning candidates in a likely runoff due to their stronger head-to-head matchup edges, as seen in simulated second-round ballots. Valencia's April 15 endorsement from the Conservative Party has narrowed the gap by consolidating center-right support post-March legislative primaries, while Petro's Historic Pact backs Cepeda amid ongoing security concerns and economic pressures. Key swing factors include further coalition deals, campaign debates, and violence incidents that could tip undecided moderates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोलंबिया राष्ट्रपति चुनाव
कोलंबिया राष्ट्रपति चुनाव
पलोमा वेलेंसिया 41.4%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला 19%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़ (स्वतंत्र) <1%
$20,285,712 वॉल्यूम
$20,285,712 वॉल्यूम
पलोमा वेलेंसिया
41%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला
19%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
सर्जियो फजार्दो (डीसी)
<1%
लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो (सीआरबी)
<1%
कार्लोस फेलिपे कोरडोबा
<1%
विक्की डाविला (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
गुस्तावो बोलिवार (एचसी)
<1%
जुआन मैनुअल गालान (एनएल)
<1%
जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरा (आरसी)
<1%
मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%
डैनियल किंटेरेो
<1%
रॉय बैरेरस
<1%
एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
जुआन कार्लोस पिंज़ोन
<1%
डेविड लूना सांचेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
पलोमा वेलेंसिया 41.4%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो 38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला 19%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़ (स्वतंत्र) <1%
$20,285,712 वॉल्यूम
$20,285,712 वॉल्यूम
पलोमा वेलेंसिया
41%
इवान सेपेडा कास्त्रो
38%
एबेलार्डो डी ला एस्प्रिएला
19%
क्लाउडिया लोपेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
सर्जियो फजार्दो (डीसी)
<1%
लुइस गिल्बर्टो मुरिलो (सीआरबी)
<1%
कार्लोस फेलिपे कोरडोबा
<1%
विक्की डाविला (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
जुआन डैनियल ओवीएदो (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
गुस्तावो बोलिवार (एचसी)
<1%
जुआन मैनुअल गालान (एनएल)
<1%
जर्मन वर्गास ल्लेरा (आरसी)
<1%
मौरिसियो कार्डेनास
<1%
डैनियल किंटेरेो
<1%
रॉय बैरेरस
<1%
एनरिक पेञालोसा
<1%
जुआन कार्लोस पिंज़ोन
<1%
डेविड लूना सांचेज़ (स्वतंत्र)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2025, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin lead for Candidate M at 49.5% implied probability to win Colombia's presidency, ahead of Paloma Valencia (41.4%) and Iván Cepeda Castro (37.5%), reflecting a fragmented field six weeks before the May 31 first-round vote. Recent AtlasIntel polling (April 6-9) shows Cepeda leading the first round at 39% versus Valencia's 24% and Abelardo de la Espriella's 28%, but traders favor right-leaning candidates in a likely runoff due to their stronger head-to-head matchup edges, as seen in simulated second-round ballots. Valencia's April 15 endorsement from the Conservative Party has narrowed the gap by consolidating center-right support post-March legislative primaries, while Petro's Historic Pact backs Cepeda amid ongoing security concerns and economic pressures. Key swing factors include further coalition deals, campaign debates, and violence incidents that could tip undecided moderates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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