Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a supermajority in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with record 77.8% turnout, prompting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to concede after 16 years in power, as near-final National Election Office counts show Tisza capturing 52.1% of the national party list vote. Trader consensus heavily favors the 50-54% bin at 94.5% implied probability, driven by pre-election independent polls consistently averaging Tisza at 50-53% among decided voters—bolstered by Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider challenging incumbency fatigue and economic discontent—directly validated by over 98% tabulated results. Though official certification pends, late-breaking recounts or legal disputes could theoretically shift the tally, but Orbán's acknowledgment and the wide margin render such scenarios remote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया50-54% 94.8%
54%+ 3.9%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
42% से कम
<1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
95%
54%+
4%
50-54% 94.8%
54%+ 3.9%
42% से कम <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
$570,205 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
42% से कम
$34,353 वॉल्यूम
<1%
42-46%
$21,294 वॉल्यूम
<1%
46-50%
$28,769 वॉल्यूम
<1%
50-54%
$85,209 वॉल्यूम
95%
54%+
$400,630 वॉल्यूम
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a supermajority in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with record 77.8% turnout, prompting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to concede after 16 years in power, as near-final National Election Office counts show Tisza capturing 52.1% of the national party list vote. Trader consensus heavily favors the 50-54% bin at 94.5% implied probability, driven by pre-election independent polls consistently averaging Tisza at 50-53% among decided voters—bolstered by Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider challenging incumbency fatigue and economic discontent—directly validated by over 98% tabulated results. Though official certification pends, late-breaking recounts or legal disputes could theoretically shift the tally, but Orbán's acknowledgment and the wide margin render such scenarios remote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$570,205समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a supermajority in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with record 77.8% turnout, prompting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to concede after 16 years in power, as near-final National Election Office counts show Tisza capturing 52.1% of the national party list vote. Trader consensus heavily favors the 50-54% bin at 94.5% implied probability, driven by pre-election independent polls consistently averaging Tisza at 50-53% among decided voters—bolstered by Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider challenging incumbency fatigue and economic discontent—directly validated by over 98% tabulated results. Though official certification pends, late-breaking recounts or legal disputes could theoretically shift the tally, but Orbán's acknowledgment and the wide margin render such scenarios remote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$570,205समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched a supermajority in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election with record 77.8% turnout, prompting Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to concede after 16 years in power, as near-final National Election Office counts show Tisza capturing 52.1% of the national party list vote. Trader consensus heavily favors the 50-54% bin at 94.5% implied probability, driven by pre-election independent polls consistently averaging Tisza at 50-53% among decided voters—bolstered by Magyar's appeal as a former Fidesz insider challenging incumbency fatigue and economic discontent—directly validated by over 98% tabulated results. Though official certification pends, late-breaking recounts or legal disputes could theoretically shift the tally, but Orbán's acknowledgment and the wide margin render such scenarios remote.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न