President Donald Trump continues serving his term securely past the 100-day mark, with trader consensus implying a 99.2% probability he remains in office through April 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any House impeachment vote, Senate conviction proceedings, resignation statements, or 25th Amendment invocations. Recent Democratic calls for his removal over Iran policy—amid U.S. naval blockades of the Strait of Hormuz, airstrikes, and ceasefire talks—have gained no traction in the Republican-controlled Congress, where supermajorities shield against ouster. Historical precedent shows presidential removals are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden Cabinet rebellion, or escalated geopolitical fallout prompting unified opposition, though none appear imminent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$8,481,095 वॉल्यूम
$8,481,095 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$8,481,095 वॉल्यूम
$8,481,095 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump continues serving his term securely past the 100-day mark, with trader consensus implying a 99.2% probability he remains in office through April 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any House impeachment vote, Senate conviction proceedings, resignation statements, or 25th Amendment invocations. Recent Democratic calls for his removal over Iran policy—amid U.S. naval blockades of the Strait of Hormuz, airstrikes, and ceasefire talks—have gained no traction in the Republican-controlled Congress, where supermajorities shield against ouster. Historical precedent shows presidential removals are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden Cabinet rebellion, or escalated geopolitical fallout prompting unified opposition, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$8,481,095समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump continues serving his term securely past the 100-day mark, with trader consensus implying a 99.2% probability he remains in office through April 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any House impeachment vote, Senate conviction proceedings, resignation statements, or 25th Amendment invocations. Recent Democratic calls for his removal over Iran policy—amid U.S. naval blockades of the Strait of Hormuz, airstrikes, and ceasefire talks—have gained no traction in the Republican-controlled Congress, where supermajorities shield against ouster. Historical precedent shows presidential removals are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden Cabinet rebellion, or escalated geopolitical fallout prompting unified opposition, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$8,481,095समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 26, 2026, 2:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump continues serving his term securely past the 100-day mark, with trader consensus implying a 99.2% probability he remains in office through April 30, 2026, driven by the absence of any House impeachment vote, Senate conviction proceedings, resignation statements, or 25th Amendment invocations. Recent Democratic calls for his removal over Iran policy—amid U.S. naval blockades of the Strait of Hormuz, airstrikes, and ceasefire talks—have gained no traction in the Republican-controlled Congress, where supermajorities shield against ouster. Historical precedent shows presidential removals are exceedingly rare without bipartisan support. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events, a sudden Cabinet rebellion, or escalated geopolitical fallout prompting unified opposition, though none appear imminent.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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