Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 16-18 per day in recent weeks, including 120-139 posts from April 7-14 and 98 posts through April 15 in the overlapping April 10-17 period, centering odds around 100-119 (33.5%) and 120-139 (25.0%). Heightened U.S.-Iran conflict activity—marked by Trump's expletive-laden ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, power plant threats, and disputed ceasefire claims since early April—has sustained elevated frequency above the 2025 annual average of 18 daily posts. The tight race among top bins stems from day-to-day variability, lower weekend tallies, and potential lulls absent new escalations like military actions or diplomatic deadlines, which could push toward 140+ or drop below 100 if tensions ease.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया100-119 33%
120-139 25%
80-99 24%
140-159 12%
नया
$17,084 वॉल्यूम
नया
$17,084 वॉल्यूम
24 अप्रैल, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
3%
60-79
4%
80-99
24%
100-119
33%
120-139
25%
140-159
12%
160-179
7%
180-199
2%
200+
4%
100-119 33%
120-139 25%
80-99 24%
140-159 12%
नया
$17,084 वॉल्यूम
नया
$17,084 वॉल्यूम
24 अप्रैल, 2026
<20
$10,230 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20-39
$1,452 वॉल्यूम
<1%
40-59
$873 वॉल्यूम
3%
60-79
$832 वॉल्यूम
4%
80-99
$549 वॉल्यूम
24%
100-119
$270 वॉल्यूम
33%
120-139
$336 वॉल्यूम
25%
140-159
$265 वॉल्यूम
12%
160-179
$193 वॉल्यूम
7%
180-199
$560 वॉल्यूम
2%
200+
$1,523 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 16-18 per day in recent weeks, including 120-139 posts from April 7-14 and 98 posts through April 15 in the overlapping April 10-17 period, centering odds around 100-119 (33.5%) and 120-139 (25.0%). Heightened U.S.-Iran conflict activity—marked by Trump's expletive-laden ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, power plant threats, and disputed ceasefire claims since early April—has sustained elevated frequency above the 2025 annual average of 18 daily posts. The tight race among top bins stems from day-to-day variability, lower weekend tallies, and potential lulls absent new escalations like military actions or diplomatic deadlines, which could push toward 140+ or drop below 100 if tensions ease.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,084समाप्ति तिथि
24 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 16-18 per day in recent weeks, including 120-139 posts from April 7-14 and 98 posts through April 15 in the overlapping April 10-17 period, centering odds around 100-119 (33.5%) and 120-139 (25.0%). Heightened U.S.-Iran conflict activity—marked by Trump's expletive-laden ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, power plant threats, and disputed ceasefire claims since early April—has sustained elevated frequency above the 2025 annual average of 18 daily posts. The tight race among top bins stems from day-to-day variability, lower weekend tallies, and potential lulls absent new escalations like military actions or diplomatic deadlines, which could push toward 140+ or drop below 100 if tensions ease.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
वॉल्यूम
$17,084समाप्ति तिथि
24 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Donald Trump's consistent Truth Social posting volume of 16-18 per day in recent weeks, including 120-139 posts from April 7-14 and 98 posts through April 15 in the overlapping April 10-17 period, centering odds around 100-119 (33.5%) and 120-139 (25.0%). Heightened U.S.-Iran conflict activity—marked by Trump's expletive-laden ultimatums on the Strait of Hormuz, power plant threats, and disputed ceasefire claims since early April—has sustained elevated frequency above the 2025 annual average of 18 daily posts. The tight race among top bins stems from day-to-day variability, lower weekend tallies, and potential lulls absent new escalations like military actions or diplomatic deadlines, which could push toward 140+ or drop below 100 if tensions ease.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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