Trader consensus reflects a 94.5% implied probability that President Trump remains in office through June 30, driven by Republican majorities in both the House and Senate that block impeachment prospects, requiring a simple House majority to impeach and two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Recent articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 8 face a steep uphill battle in the GOP-controlled House, with no committee advancement or bipartisan support emerging in the past week. No official statements indicate resignation intentions, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or health concerns necessitating removal, while partisan calls on social media lack institutional traction. Late-breaking scandals, legal rulings, or health events could shift odds, but current stability dominates market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$2,878,390 वॉल्यूम
$2,878,390 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$2,878,390 वॉल्यूम
$2,878,390 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects a 94.5% implied probability that President Trump remains in office through June 30, driven by Republican majorities in both the House and Senate that block impeachment prospects, requiring a simple House majority to impeach and two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Recent articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 8 face a steep uphill battle in the GOP-controlled House, with no committee advancement or bipartisan support emerging in the past week. No official statements indicate resignation intentions, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or health concerns necessitating removal, while partisan calls on social media lack institutional traction. Late-breaking scandals, legal rulings, or health events could shift odds, but current stability dominates market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,878,390समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects a 94.5% implied probability that President Trump remains in office through June 30, driven by Republican majorities in both the House and Senate that block impeachment prospects, requiring a simple House majority to impeach and two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Recent articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 8 face a steep uphill battle in the GOP-controlled House, with no committee advancement or bipartisan support emerging in the past week. No official statements indicate resignation intentions, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or health concerns necessitating removal, while partisan calls on social media lack institutional traction. Late-breaking scandals, legal rulings, or health events could shift odds, but current stability dominates market pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$2,878,390समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 94.5% implied probability that President Trump remains in office through June 30, driven by Republican majorities in both the House and Senate that block impeachment prospects, requiring a simple House majority to impeach and two-thirds Senate vote to convict. Recent articles of impeachment filed by Rep. John Larson on April 8 face a steep uphill battle in the GOP-controlled House, with no committee advancement or bipartisan support emerging in the past week. No official statements indicate resignation intentions, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or health concerns necessitating removal, while partisan calls on social media lack institutional traction. Late-breaking scandals, legal rulings, or health events could shift odds, but current stability dominates market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न