President Donald Trump's ongoing public feud with Pope Leo XIV, featuring Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" over Iran war criticisms, has fueled trader consensus on daily insults, pricing Yes at 92¢ (91% implied probability) for April 16 and similar highs through April 30. This follows recent barbs at MAGA influencers opposing his Iran stance as "stupid people," profanity-laced rants at Tehran, and earlier mockery of French President Macron's marriage and Irish leaders during St. Patrick's Day events. Traders weigh his pattern of unfiltered personal attacks via social media and White House press gaggles against resolution rules requiring clear derogatory language toward individuals, with upcoming addresses or posts amid geopolitical tensions as key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$136,936 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल, 2026
16 अप्रैल
91%
17 अप्रैल
91%
18 अप्रैल
83%
19 अप्रैल
81%
20 अप्रैल
73%
21 अप्रैल
82%
22 अप्रैल
84%
23 अप्रैल
86%
24 अप्रैल
81%
25 अप्रैल
84%
26 अप्रैल
76%
27 अप्रैल
79%
28 अप्रैल
76%
29 अप्रैल
80%
30 अप्रैल
82%
$136,936 वॉल्यूम
16 अप्रैल
$4,719 वॉल्यूम
91%
17 अप्रैल
$8,034 वॉल्यूम
91%
18 अप्रैल
$4,830 वॉल्यूम
83%
19 अप्रैल
$415 वॉल्यूम
81%
20 अप्रैल
$944 वॉल्यूम
73%
21 अप्रैल
$6,070 वॉल्यूम
82%
22 अप्रैल
$3,113 वॉल्यूम
84%
23 अप्रैल
$7,676 वॉल्यूम
86%
24 अप्रैल
$5,872 वॉल्यूम
81%
25 अप्रैल
$4,898 वॉल्यूम
84%
26 अप्रैल
$2,220 वॉल्यूम
76%
27 अप्रैल
$5,907 वॉल्यूम
79%
28 अप्रैल
$394 वॉल्यूम
76%
29 अप्रैल
$3,608 वॉल्यूम
80%
30 अप्रैल
$441 वॉल्यूम
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's ongoing public feud with Pope Leo XIV, featuring Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" over Iran war criticisms, has fueled trader consensus on daily insults, pricing Yes at 92¢ (91% implied probability) for April 16 and similar highs through April 30. This follows recent barbs at MAGA influencers opposing his Iran stance as "stupid people," profanity-laced rants at Tehran, and earlier mockery of French President Macron's marriage and Irish leaders during St. Patrick's Day events. Traders weigh his pattern of unfiltered personal attacks via social media and White House press gaggles against resolution rules requiring clear derogatory language toward individuals, with upcoming addresses or posts amid geopolitical tensions as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$136,936समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's ongoing public feud with Pope Leo XIV, featuring Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" over Iran war criticisms, has fueled trader consensus on daily insults, pricing Yes at 92¢ (91% implied probability) for April 16 and similar highs through April 30. This follows recent barbs at MAGA influencers opposing his Iran stance as "stupid people," profanity-laced rants at Tehran, and earlier mockery of French President Macron's marriage and Irish leaders during St. Patrick's Day events. Traders weigh his pattern of unfiltered personal attacks via social media and White House press gaggles against resolution rules requiring clear derogatory language toward individuals, with upcoming addresses or posts amid geopolitical tensions as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$136,936समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's ongoing public feud with Pope Leo XIV, featuring Truth Social posts labeling the pontiff "weak on crime" and "terrible for foreign policy" over Iran war criticisms, has fueled trader consensus on daily insults, pricing Yes at 92¢ (91% implied probability) for April 16 and similar highs through April 30. This follows recent barbs at MAGA influencers opposing his Iran stance as "stupid people," profanity-laced rants at Tehran, and earlier mockery of French President Macron's marriage and Irish leaders during St. Patrick's Day events. Traders weigh his pattern of unfiltered personal attacks via social media and White House press gaggles against resolution rules requiring clear derogatory language toward individuals, with upcoming addresses or posts amid geopolitical tensions as key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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