Trader consensus favors Democrats at 60.5% to win the 2028 presidential election following President Trump's February 2026 launch of Operation Epic Fury—a U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran involving airstrikes on nuclear sites and leadership targets—that has eroded Republican favorability amid ongoing casualties, interceptor shortages, and a fragile April 7 ceasefire. The April 2 ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi signals White House turmoil, compounding political risks for the incumbent party ahead of November 2026 midterms, where historical patterns show presidents' parties losing House seats. With no incumbent eligible after Trump's term limit, early polling declines for Vice President JD Vance bolster Democratic frontrunners like Gavin Newsom, though swing state dynamics and primary outcomes remain pivotal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2028 के अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में कौन सी पार्टी जीतती है?
2028 के अमेरिकी राष्ट्रपति चुनाव में कौन सी पार्टी जीतती है?
$1,661,546 वॉल्यूम
$1,661,546 वॉल्यूम

डेमोक्रेटिक
61%

रिपब्लिकन
39%
$1,661,546 वॉल्यूम
$1,661,546 वॉल्यूम

डेमोक्रेटिक
61%

रिपब्लिकन
39%
This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 18, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus favors Democrats at 60.5% to win the 2028 presidential election following President Trump's February 2026 launch of Operation Epic Fury—a U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran involving airstrikes on nuclear sites and leadership targets—that has eroded Republican favorability amid ongoing casualties, interceptor shortages, and a fragile April 7 ceasefire. The April 2 ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi signals White House turmoil, compounding political risks for the incumbent party ahead of November 2026 midterms, where historical patterns show presidents' parties losing House seats. With no incumbent eligible after Trump's term limit, early polling declines for Vice President JD Vance bolster Democratic frontrunners like Gavin Newsom, though swing state dynamics and primary outcomes remain pivotal.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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