Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 votes at 46.5% in the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, reflecting historical patterns of sharp turnout declines—often 50–70%—from initial primaries to runoffs due to voter fatigue. The March 3 GOP primary saw record participation exceeding prior midterms amid intense competition, but the binary choice now tempers enthusiasm despite tight polls and a looming possible endorsement from former President Trump. Open runoff rules allow non-March primary voters to participate, yet lower bins like under 600,000 (20%) and higher ranges trail as traders weigh get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of early voting starting May 19.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTurnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
0.6–0.9M 55%
0.9–1.2M 16%
<0.6M 14%
1.2–1.5M 2.2%
$37,624 वॉल्यूम
$37,624 वॉल्यूम
<0.6M
19%
0.6–0.9M
42%
0.9–1.2M
21%
1.2–1.5M
26%
1.5–1.8M
1%
1.8–2.1M
1%
2.1–2.4M
1%
2.4–2.7M
2%
2.7M+
1%
0.6–0.9M 55%
0.9–1.2M 16%
<0.6M 14%
1.2–1.5M 2.2%
$37,624 वॉल्यूम
$37,624 वॉल्यूम
<0.6M
19%
0.6–0.9M
42%
0.9–1.2M
21%
1.2–1.5M
26%
1.5–1.8M
1%
1.8–2.1M
1%
2.1–2.4M
1%
2.4–2.7M
2%
2.7M+
1%
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 600,000–900,000 votes at 46.5% in the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton, reflecting historical patterns of sharp turnout declines—often 50–70%—from initial primaries to runoffs due to voter fatigue. The March 3 GOP primary saw record participation exceeding prior midterms amid intense competition, but the binary choice now tempers enthusiasm despite tight polls and a looming possible endorsement from former President Trump. Open runoff rules allow non-March primary voters to participate, yet lower bins like under 600,000 (20%) and higher ranges trail as traders weigh get-out-the-vote efforts ahead of early voting starting May 19.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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