Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight Republican Senate outcome after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 GOP seats from a current 53-47 majority, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid a cluster of battleground races in Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio's special election, and Texas. Recent developments keeping the race competitive include former Sen. Scott Brown's push in New Hampshire's GOP primary highlighted April 14, Roy Cooper's Democratic bid for North Carolina's open seat, and John Cornyn's May 28 runoff against Ken Paxton in Texas, alongside early polls showing narrow leads in Virginia and other targets. Separation could arise from primary resolutions, presidential approval shifts, economic data, or nationalized turnout in swing states.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$2,077,463 वॉल्यूम
$2,077,463 वॉल्यूम
≤47
26%
48
14%
49
19%
50
15%
51
17%
52
5%
53
3%
54
2%
55
1%
56
1%
57+
1%
$2,077,463 वॉल्यूम
$2,077,463 वॉल्यूम
≤47
$37,655 वॉल्यूम
26%
48
$16,788 वॉल्यूम
14%
49
$12,536 वॉल्यूम
19%
50
$61,663 वॉल्यूम
15%
51
$159,065 वॉल्यूम
17%
52
$506,041 वॉल्यूम
5%
53
$13,743 वॉल्यूम
3%
54
$707,391 वॉल्यूम
2%
55
$392,110 वॉल्यूम
1%
56
$140,442 वॉल्यूम
1%
57+
$30,029 वॉल्यूम
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight Republican Senate outcome after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 GOP seats from a current 53-47 majority, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid a cluster of battleground races in Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio's special election, and Texas. Recent developments keeping the race competitive include former Sen. Scott Brown's push in New Hampshire's GOP primary highlighted April 14, Roy Cooper's Democratic bid for North Carolina's open seat, and John Cornyn's May 28 runoff against Ken Paxton in Texas, alongside early polls showing narrow leads in Virginia and other targets. Separation could arise from primary resolutions, presidential approval shifts, economic data, or nationalized turnout in swing states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,077,463बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight Republican Senate outcome after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 GOP seats from a current 53-47 majority, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid a cluster of battleground races in Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio's special election, and Texas. Recent developments keeping the race competitive include former Sen. Scott Brown's push in New Hampshire's GOP primary highlighted April 14, Roy Cooper's Democratic bid for North Carolina's open seat, and John Cornyn's May 28 runoff against Ken Paxton in Texas, alongside early polls showing narrow leads in Virginia and other targets. Separation could arise from primary resolutions, presidential approval shifts, economic data, or nationalized turnout in swing states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
वॉल्यूम
$2,077,463बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a tight Republican Senate outcome after the November 2026 midterms, with probabilities clustered around 47-51 GOP seats from a current 53-47 majority, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid a cluster of battleground races in Maine, North Carolina, Georgia, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio's special election, and Texas. Recent developments keeping the race competitive include former Sen. Scott Brown's push in New Hampshire's GOP primary highlighted April 14, Roy Cooper's Democratic bid for North Carolina's open seat, and John Cornyn's May 28 runoff against Ken Paxton in Texas, alongside early polls showing narrow leads in Virginia and other targets. Separation could arise from primary resolutions, presidential approval shifts, economic data, or nationalized turnout in swing states.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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