**The high probability assigned to "No" for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects its repeated House passage followed by consistent failure to advance in the Senate.** The original bill cleared the House in April 2025 and similar versions, including the SAVE America Act, passed again in February 2026, yet Senate consideration has stalled. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the legislation requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, and sufficient Democratic support has not materialized; one Republican senator has already opposed proceeding. Attempts to attach provisions to must-pass measures such as the NDAA or other vehicles in July 2026 have not altered the outlook. Discussions of budget reconciliation or other procedural routes remain unresolved, and no Senate floor vote has produced the necessary supermajority. With limited legislative days remaining in the calendar year and no breakthrough in negotiations or procedural changes, traders view enactment before December 31, 2026, as unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$190,071 वॉल्यूम
$190,071 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
$190,071 वॉल्यूम
$190,071 वॉल्यूम
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**The high probability assigned to "No" for H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) becoming law in 2026 reflects its repeated House passage followed by consistent failure to advance in the Senate.** The original bill cleared the House in April 2025 and similar versions, including the SAVE America Act, passed again in February 2026, yet Senate consideration has stalled. With Republicans holding 53 seats, the legislation requires 60 votes to overcome a filibuster, and sufficient Democratic support has not materialized; one Republican senator has already opposed proceeding. Attempts to attach provisions to must-pass measures such as the NDAA or other vehicles in July 2026 have not altered the outlook. Discussions of budget reconciliation or other procedural routes remain unresolved, and no Senate floor vote has produced the necessary supermajority. With limited legislative days remaining in the calendar year and no breakthrough in negotiations or procedural changes, traders view enactment before December 31, 2026, as unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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