Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment resolution has advanced to a floor vote. Multiple Democratic members, including Rep. Al Green with H.Res.1486 introduced on August 24, have filed articles citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement and agency operations, though these remain in committee under Republican leadership. Polling indicates broad public perception of grounds for impeachment, while Trump and GOP leaders have repeatedly warned that Democratic majorities would trigger proceedings. Traders price the risk of a post-midterm shift as the dominant factor elevating odds well above near-term baselines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
68% संभावना
$96,347 वॉल्यूम
$96,347 वॉल्यूम
19 जन, 2029
3.25% कमाएँ
हाँ
68% संभावना
$96,347 वॉल्यूम
$96,347 वॉल्यूम
19 जन, 2029
3.25% कमाएँ
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment resolution has advanced to a floor vote. Multiple Democratic members, including Rep. Al Green with H.Res.1486 introduced on August 24, have filed articles citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement and agency operations, though these remain in committee under Republican leadership. Polling indicates broad public perception of grounds for impeachment, while Trump and GOP leaders have repeatedly warned that Democratic majorities would trigger proceedings. Traders price the risk of a post-midterm shift as the dominant factor elevating odds well above near-term baselines.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$96,347समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment resolution has advanced to a floor vote. Multiple Democratic members, including Rep. Al Green with H.Res.1486 introduced on August 24, have filed articles citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement and agency operations, though these remain in committee under Republican leadership. Polling indicates broad public perception of grounds for impeachment, while Trump and GOP leaders have repeatedly warned that Democratic majorities would trigger proceedings. Traders price the risk of a post-midterm shift as the dominant factor elevating odds well above near-term baselines.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
वॉल्यूम
$96,347समाप्ति तिथि
20 जन, 2029बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Democrats' strong positioning to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms represents the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that the House will pass articles of impeachment before January 2029. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment resolution has advanced to a floor vote. Multiple Democratic members, including Rep. Al Green with H.Res.1486 introduced on August 24, have filed articles citing issues such as executive actions on immigration enforcement and agency operations, though these remain in committee under Republican leadership. Polling indicates broad public perception of grounds for impeachment, while Trump and GOP leaders have repeatedly warned that Democratic majorities would trigger proceedings. Traders price the risk of a post-midterm shift as the dominant factor elevating odds well above near-term baselines.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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