Traders assign Donald Trump a 97.7% implied probability of avoiding impeachment by the end of 2026, driven by Republican House control and the majority party's consistent reluctance to initiate proceedings against its own president. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter chamber balance only late in the window, limiting time for any vote. Historical precedents indicate successful impeachment efforts typically require opposition majorities or broad bipartisan backing, neither of which appears likely. While unforeseen scandals, Senate referrals, or sudden caucus shifts could still intervene, no such developments have emerged to shift the current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
2% संभावना
$991,420 वॉल्यूम
$991,420 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
3.25% कमाएँ
हाँ
2% संभावना
$991,420 वॉल्यूम
$991,420 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
3.25% कमाएँ
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign Donald Trump a 97.7% implied probability of avoiding impeachment by the end of 2026, driven by Republican House control and the majority party's consistent reluctance to initiate proceedings against its own president. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter chamber balance only late in the window, limiting time for any vote. Historical precedents indicate successful impeachment efforts typically require opposition majorities or broad bipartisan backing, neither of which appears likely. While unforeseen scandals, Senate referrals, or sudden caucus shifts could still intervene, no such developments have emerged to shift the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$991,420समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Traders assign Donald Trump a 97.7% implied probability of avoiding impeachment by the end of 2026, driven by Republican House control and the majority party's consistent reluctance to initiate proceedings against its own president. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter chamber balance only late in the window, limiting time for any vote. Historical precedents indicate successful impeachment efforts typically require opposition majorities or broad bipartisan backing, neither of which appears likely. While unforeseen scandals, Senate referrals, or sudden caucus shifts could still intervene, no such developments have emerged to shift the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
वॉल्यूम
$991,420समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Traders assign Donald Trump a 97.7% implied probability of avoiding impeachment by the end of 2026, driven by Republican House control and the majority party's consistent reluctance to initiate proceedings against its own president. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter chamber balance only late in the window, limiting time for any vote. Historical precedents indicate successful impeachment efforts typically require opposition majorities or broad bipartisan backing, neither of which appears likely. While unforeseen scandals, Senate referrals, or sudden caucus shifts could still intervene, no such developments have emerged to shift the current trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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