Trader consensus on 2026 midterms House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, mirroring historical midterm peaks like 2018's 114 million amid a growing voting-eligible population, while exceeding 2022's 108 million. Early generic congressional ballot polls, including Fox News (Democrats 52%-46%) and Emerson (48%-42%), signal Democratic enthusiasm as the out-party, reinforced by surging turnout in March primaries and special elections signaling higher participation from key blocs like Latinos in South Texas. The race stays neck-and-neck due to uncertain turnout gaps, mobilization drives, and lower midterm participation rates versus presidential years. Separation could emerge from battleground primaries, economic shifts, presidential approval trends, or voter registration surges ahead of November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया115-120m 23%
125-130m 21%
110-115m 18%
105-110m 13%
<85m
5%
85-90m
8%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
4%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
18%
115-120m
23%
120-125m
13%
125-130m
22%
130m+
11%
115-120m 23%
125-130m 21%
110-115m 18%
105-110m 13%
<85m
5%
85-90m
8%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
4%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
13%
110-115m
18%
115-120m
23%
120-125m
13%
125-130m
22%
130m+
11%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterms House turnout clusters tightly around 115-130 million votes, mirroring historical midterm peaks like 2018's 114 million amid a growing voting-eligible population, while exceeding 2022's 108 million. Early generic congressional ballot polls, including Fox News (Democrats 52%-46%) and Emerson (48%-42%), signal Democratic enthusiasm as the out-party, reinforced by surging turnout in March primaries and special elections signaling higher participation from key blocs like Latinos in South Texas. The race stays neck-and-neck due to uncertain turnout gaps, mobilization drives, and lower midterm participation rates versus presidential years. Separation could emerge from battleground primaries, economic shifts, presidential approval trends, or voter registration surges ahead of November 3.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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