Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty over total 2026 House turnout, with the leading 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges trading within one point of each other. Early-cycle dynamics include typical midterm patterns of lower participation than presidential years, varying state-level competitiveness, and questions around voter mobilization across key demographics. Historical base rates for off-year elections provide limited guidance given evolving registration trends and potential shifts in enthusiasm tied to upcoming primaries and national issues. Scheduled events such as candidate filings, debate schedules, and economic data releases through the fall could alter participation forecasts and widen the spread between ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया130m+ 44%
<85m 26.1%
115-120m 15%
125-130m 15%
<85m
26%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
13%
115-120m
15%
120-125m
31%
125-130m
20%
130m+
31%
130m+ 44%
<85m 26.1%
115-120m 15%
125-130m 15%
<85m
26%
85-90m
<1%
90-95m
1%
95-100m
1%
100-105m
4%
105-110m
6%
110-115m
13%
115-120m
15%
120-125m
31%
125-130m
20%
130m+
31%
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects substantial uncertainty over total 2026 House turnout, with the leading 120-125 million and 130 million-plus ranges trading within one point of each other. Early-cycle dynamics include typical midterm patterns of lower participation than presidential years, varying state-level competitiveness, and questions around voter mobilization across key demographics. Historical base rates for off-year elections provide limited guidance given evolving registration trends and potential shifts in enthusiasm tied to upcoming primaries and national issues. Scheduled events such as candidate filings, debate schedules, and economic data releases through the fall could alter participation forecasts and widen the spread between ranges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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