Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid sexual misconduct allegations have heightened bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), who face separate ethics probes over misconduct claims they deny, creating the closely contested trader consensus with "No" at 53.5% implied probability that not all four exit Congress by May 31. Momentum from Speaker Mike Johnson's calls for Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion and potential House floor votes could tip toward "Yes" if ethics investigations yield damning findings or prompt resignations, while procedural hurdles—a two-thirds expulsion threshold—and lack of further departures sustain "No," especially with both incumbents eyeing reelection amid fundraising woes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$17,769 वॉल्यूम
$17,769 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
हाँ
$17,769 वॉल्यूम
$17,769 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid sexual misconduct allegations have heightened bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), who face separate ethics probes over misconduct claims they deny, creating the closely contested trader consensus with "No" at 53.5% implied probability that not all four exit Congress by May 31. Momentum from Speaker Mike Johnson's calls for Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion and potential House floor votes could tip toward "Yes" if ethics investigations yield damning findings or prompt resignations, while procedural hurdles—a two-thirds expulsion threshold—and lack of further departures sustain "No," especially with both incumbents eyeing reelection amid fundraising woes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,769समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid sexual misconduct allegations have heightened bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), who face separate ethics probes over misconduct claims they deny, creating the closely contested trader consensus with "No" at 53.5% implied probability that not all four exit Congress by May 31. Momentum from Speaker Mike Johnson's calls for Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion and potential House floor votes could tip toward "Yes" if ethics investigations yield damning findings or prompt resignations, while procedural hurdles—a two-thirds expulsion threshold—and lack of further departures sustain "No," especially with both incumbents eyeing reelection amid fundraising woes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, Tony Gonzales and Sheila Cherfilus-Mccormick all cease to be United States Representatives for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement of a listed individual’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will be sufficient for that individual to be considered to have ceased to hold their position, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$17,769समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 13, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) amid sexual misconduct allegations have heightened bipartisan pressure on Reps. Cory Mills (R-FL) and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL), who face separate ethics probes over misconduct claims they deny, creating the closely contested trader consensus with "No" at 53.5% implied probability that not all four exit Congress by May 31. Momentum from Speaker Mike Johnson's calls for Cherfilus-McCormick's expulsion and potential House floor votes could tip toward "Yes" if ethics investigations yield damning findings or prompt resignations, while procedural hurdles—a two-thirds expulsion threshold—and lack of further departures sustain "No," especially with both incumbents eyeing reelection amid fundraising woes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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