Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.8% that no U.S. Congress member will resign or face expulsion over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the January 2026 DOJ release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which implicated no sitting lawmakers in criminal conduct warranting departure. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on April 14 stemmed from unrelated sexual misconduct allegations involving staffers, preempting House expulsion votes amid broader ethics scrutiny but not tied to Epstein documents. House Oversight Committee's March subpoenas to AG Pam Bondi yielded no new bombshells, with Democrats walking out of unsworn briefings. Only a late-breaking revelation or indictment directly from unreleased files could shift odds in the final two weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
नया
नया
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.8% that no U.S. Congress member will resign or face expulsion over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the January 2026 DOJ release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which implicated no sitting lawmakers in criminal conduct warranting departure. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on April 14 stemmed from unrelated sexual misconduct allegations involving staffers, preempting House expulsion votes amid broader ethics scrutiny but not tied to Epstein documents. House Oversight Committee's March subpoenas to AG Pam Bondi yielded no new bombshells, with Democrats walking out of unsworn briefings. Only a late-breaking revelation or indictment directly from unreleased files could shift odds in the final two weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,414समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.8% that no U.S. Congress member will resign or face expulsion over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the January 2026 DOJ release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which implicated no sitting lawmakers in criminal conduct warranting departure. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on April 14 stemmed from unrelated sexual misconduct allegations involving staffers, preempting House expulsion votes amid broader ethics scrutiny but not tied to Epstein documents. House Oversight Committee's March subpoenas to AG Pam Bondi yielded no new bombshells, with Democrats walking out of unsworn briefings. Only a late-breaking revelation or indictment directly from unreleased files could shift odds in the final two weeks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,414समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 96.8% that no U.S. Congress member will resign or face expulsion over Epstein files by April 30, driven by the January 2026 DOJ release of 3.5 million pages under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, which implicated no sitting lawmakers in criminal conduct warranting departure. Recent resignations of Reps. Eric Swalwell (D-CA) and Tony Gonzales (R-TX) on April 14 stemmed from unrelated sexual misconduct allegations involving staffers, preempting House expulsion votes amid broader ethics scrutiny but not tied to Epstein documents. House Oversight Committee's March subpoenas to AG Pam Bondi yielded no new bombshells, with Democrats walking out of unsworn briefings. Only a late-breaking revelation or indictment directly from unreleased files could shift odds in the final two weeks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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